Even though it was everywhere, one of the primary things that struck me about the peak period for Reflation #3 was how ridiculous it got. If you have a strong argument, there’s no need for so much hyperbole. But it wasn’t just that, it had become openly ridiculous. Interest rates had nowhere to go but […]
Maybe this was inevitable. After all, it is how things work in a lot of other places. When all is lost, that last thing that happens is the lawyers come in and pick through the bones. Christine Lagarde has been nominated to replace Mario Draghi as the next head of Europe’s central bank. She has […]
Well, at least it’s all out in the open now. Nobody even bothers about growth or earning anymore (at least for now). It’s all about the Fed, markets by central committee. Don’t […]
13-17 week cycles should be entering a corrective phase ideally due to last into late August-September. Most of our mining stops hit trailing stops, but…
The more extreme the speculative euphoria, the greater the risks of a reversal.One sentence sums up the speculative euphoria gripping markets: January and June of this year are the only months in the last 150 which have seen all assets post a posi…
New York | This week in The Institutional Risk Analyst, we return to the activities of funds operating in the world of distressed real estate and corporate debt. We noted a few months back that some of the biggest players in the distressed debt industry were preparing for a comeuppance in the market for collateralized loan obligations or “CLOs.” New funds were be created to absorb and profit by busted CLOs and distressed financial institutions such as Deutsche Bank AG (DB).But the anticipated
10-12 month cycle indicators have reached the levels of the January 2018 and September 2018 tops. Is it time to get bearish? This report answers…
He’s witnessed a lot of “crazy” in his three decades of closely following various Bubble markets, but Doug Noland says nothing compares with today’s bond market bubble.
The European slump had been a combination of several transitory factors. At least that’s what they had kept saying. ECB officials and staff Economists didn’t use that specific word, so far that’s the exclusive domain of the Federal Reserve. Regardless of semantics, the message was clear: the 2018 economy ended on a sour note but […]
It’s never about a single payroll report. Even still, there’s something significant in how the “good” ones aren’t measuring up the way they used to.