Lee’s Free Thinking

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Treasury Yield Curve Interpretation Is Like Freud’s Interpretation of Dreams – Utter Nonsense

Treasury Yield Curve interpretation is Wall Street’s sport of the moment. Everyone is getting in on the act. The consensus seems to be that falling yields are forecasting a slowing economy. Or worse, a recession. Follow the money. Find the profits!Liquidity is money. Regardless of where in the world that money originates, eventually it flows…

Stock Market Long Term Chart Outlook

The stock market long term chart suggests support at 2800 and 2770, with “air” below to around 2700. The near buy signals in 3-4 year cycle indicators are faltering. A weekly close below 2800 with further weakening in these indicators could lead to severe weakness. Follow the money. Find the profits!Liquidity is money. Regardless of…

April Federal Tax Collections Suggest Modest Economic Growth AND Growing Danger

April Federal tax collections data showed modest economic growth but growing Federal budget deficits. The revenue windfall from April tax collections has been counted and is in the books. Increased spending means that the government will resume debt issuance with a vengeance, at some point. Follow the money. Find the profits!Liquidity is money. Regardless of…

This Stock Market Crash Indicator is Downright Scary Right Now

This stock market crash indicator is again dangerously overbought. It successfully marked the last two stock market peaks. Those peaks immediately preceded stock market crashes (chart below). Follow the money. Find the profits!Liquidity is money. Regardless of where in the world that money originates, eventually it flows to and through Wall Street. So if you…

TBAC Treasury Supply Estimate Cut Sharply

The TBAC Treasury supply estimate was cut sharply for the second and third quarters. Follow the money. Find the profits!Liquidity is money. Regardless of where in the world that money originates, eventually it flows to and through Wall Street. So if you want to know the direction of the next big moves in stocks and…

Chart of Real Business Investment Has a Shocking Divergence

The chart of real business investment has always followed the stock market. From 1993 to 2012 real business investment tracked stock prices almost perfectly. That makes sense because corporate decision makers take their investment cues from stock prices.  Follow the money. Find the profits!Liquidity is money. Regardless of where in the world that money originates, eventually…

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