Lee's Latest Free Thinking

April Federal Tax Collections Suggest Modest Economic Growth AND Growing Danger

April Federal tax collections data showed modest economic growth but growing Federal budget deficits. The revenue windfall from April tax collections has been counted and is in the books. Increased spending means that the government will resume debt issuance with a vengeance, at some point. Follow the money. Find the profits!Liquidity is money. Regardless of where in the world that…

This Stock Market Crash Indicator is Downright Scary Right Now

This stock market crash indicator is again dangerously overbought. It successfully marked the last two stock market peaks. Those peaks immediately preceded stock market crashes (chart below). Follow the money. Find the profits!Liquidity is money. Regardless of where in the world that money originates, eventually it flows to and through Wall Street. So if you want to know the direction…

TBAC Treasury Supply Estimate Cut Sharply

The TBAC Treasury supply estimate was cut sharply for the second and third quarters. Follow the money. Find the profits!Liquidity is money. Regardless of where in the world that money originates, eventually it flows to and through Wall Street. So if you want to know the direction of the next big moves in stocks and bonds, just follow the money.…

Liquidity Trader

Ticking Time Bomb In The Treasury Market Could Blow Up The World

The Treasury market will look very bullish for a little while. But the aftermath of the forces that look bullish now, will be terrible. Here’s why. Follow the money. Find the profits!Liquidity is money. Regardless of where in the world that money originates, eventually it flows to and through Wall Street. So if you want to know the direction of…

Federal Budget Data Reveals Growth But Hides Ticking Time Bomb

Follow the money. Find the profits!Liquidity is money. Regardless of where in the world that money originates, eventually it flows to and through Wall Street. So if you want to know the direction of the next big moves in stocks and bonds, just follow the money. Lee Adler’s Liquidity Trader tracks and shows you the monetary forces that drive markets,…

Must Read

Fed’s Measure Says A Recession May Be Around the Corner

Despite the confidence in recent Fed-speak (aka, jawboning), a downturn that could lead to a recession may be looming, meaning the central bank’s next step very likely will be a rate cut. The Chicago Fed National Activity index turned negative in February and has stayed there, with industrial production following suit. The index has accurately … Continue reading Fed’s Own Measure Says A Recession May Be Around the Corner (Or Maybe Not)

Support Risk

As nice as the red is – – I’d love 1,000 days in a row of this – – we always have to be on the lookout for strength. I wanted to point out the risk at this point by way of the small caps. What really needs to happen is…

Huawei? No Way!

I was indeed puzzled on Sunday afternoon when the ES and NQ opened up nice and green. With the trade “deal” completely mucked up – – I’m talking Trump Steaks, Trump University, Trump Airlines level mucked up – &#…

Stock Market Cycle Indicators In Meat Grinder Setup

Here’s why traders need to guard their trading capital now. Follow the money. Find the profits!Liquidity is money. Regardless of where in the world that money originates, eventually it flows to and through Wall Street. So if you want to know the direction of the next big moves in stocks and bonds, just follow the…

Life After Google

FEEDAbout a week ago, long-time Sloper Dutch suggested I check out a book by well-known economist and technology author George Gilder named Life After Google. Based on the strength of this recommendation, I purchased it right away, and I spent the enti…

The Fed of St Louis Opposes The Gold Standard … For Environmental Reasons

In a recent blog by the St. Louis Fed entitled “Here’s Why the US No Longer Follows A Gold Standard”,  the author lays out 3 reasons with gold. There are significant problems with tying currency to the gold supply: It doesn’t guarantee financial or economic stability. It’s costly and environmentally damaging to mine. The supply of … Continue reading The Fed of St Louis Opposes The Gold Standard … For Environmental Reasons (Among Others, But Does Not Consider FIAT Currency A Problem)

Toxic Mess

Market price discovery has become a toxic mess and traders have to adapt to changing conditions. Fast. Blending an understanding of technicals with a keen awareness of the outside influencing factors on […]

Tesla’s Terrible Tumble

FEEDTo come right to the point, the specific chart I wanted to mention: my TSLA short is one of my most profitable positions, and my target price is at about $160. Only two days ago, Elon sent an all-hands email (which, happily, got leaked) to show wha…