Lee Adler

I’ve been publishing The Wall Street Examiner and its predecessor since October 2000. I also provide analysis and charts for David Stockman's Contra Corner which I developed for Mr. Stockman. I’ve had a wide variety of finance related jobs in the past 44 years, including a stint on Wall Street in both analytical and sales capacities. Prior to starting the Wall Street Examiner I worked as a commercial real estate appraiser in Florida for 15 years. I also worked in the residential mortgage and real estate businesses in parts of the 1970s and 80s. I have been charting stocks and markets and doing analytical work since I was a teenager. My perspective is not of the Ivory Tower. It is from having my boots on the ground and in the trenches of the industries that I analyze and write about today.

Market Setting Up For Top in July-August

The flattish uptrend has made it a tough environment for trading. Wave amplitude is likely to increase later this year, coincident with Fed balance sheet tightening. That increase in amplitude should be mostly to the downside. Market Update Pro subscribers click here to download the complete market update, including the proprietary cycle screens report in pdf…

Macro Liquidity Time Bomb Ticks Toward Zero

US macro liquidity has grown slowly over the past year.  Meanwhile, stock price inflation has surged, setting up a large divergence versus liquidity. It suggests that the market has become overextended due to excessive bullish sentiment. This is the mirror image of the oversold reading in February 2016. The difference today is that the Fed…

Fed Gets Real With the Boa Constrictor Approach to Tightening

This is a special report for all subscribers to Macro Liquidity, Federal Revenues and Treasury Pro Trader subscribers.  Back on April 18, I wrote: By late this year the Fed may have begun to implement its proposed policy of “normalizing” the balance sheet. That’s a nice way of saying “shrinking” the balance sheet. To do…