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Editor’s Note: The earlier version of this article included unadjusted numbers derived from a spreadsheet error. The error resulted in the not seasonally adjusted month to month employment declines being understated. The data has been corrected. The analysis and conclusions are unaffected. Thanks to rdkyote for bringing this to my attention! The headlines are...
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David Stockman was interviewed on Yahoo’s Daily Ticker this morning, and as usual, he had some choice words for Congress and Bernanke.
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And they’re off! Anyone following the Wall Street Examiner Professional Edition Treasury updates showing the massive surge in Federal withholding taxes in January would not have been surprised by today’s jobs report, but most other traders apparently were, as the SPX vaults a dozen points on opening, following a similar surge in the futures...
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Here are today’s gold stock screens and data, along with cycle conditions and projections for gold and HUI index, and Chart of the Day picks for swing trades. Indispensable daily information for gold and precious metals stocks traders.Click here to download complete report in pdf format (Professional Edition Subscribers). See the current full sized...
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OK, so I know you’re sick and tired of reading the same thing night in and night out, and I’m just as sick of writing it. That and the fact that I’ve just given those of you who also get the Fed and Treasury reports enough reading for tonight gives me a reasonably good...
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The Treasury market panic continued this week, with yields heading for new lows, thanks partly to a return of central banks to the table at a modest level, but mostly due to a ratcheting up of public buying. Bond fund inflows hit a record last week. It’s sheer panic. Bedlam. The panic atmosphere has...
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Well this is different. The market opened slightly weak after the S&P futures had a tiny pullback in the pre market. The 2 day cycle oscillators on SPX cash had been on the sell side since mid day yesterday, and are now on the cusp of either continuing down from around the neutral zone,...
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Here are today’s gold stock screens and data, along with cycle conditions and projections for gold and HUI index, and Chart of the Day picks for swing trades. Indispensable daily information for gold and precious metals stocks traders.Click here to download complete report in pdf format (Professional Edition Subscribers). See the current full sized...
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Tuesday is groundhog day. Does that mean we can expect more of the same? The cyclical window for a down turn is fast closing. If the 6-7 week cycle turns up, the uptrend could even accelerate. Projections have moved up to 1370 on a 10-12 month cycle basis, and 1390 on the 13 week...
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This is always interesting reading. I haven’t read it yet, and post it here for your amusement. I’ll include my comments in the next Professional Edition Treasury update tomorrow evening. Minutes of the Meeting of the Treasury Borrowing Advisory Committee the Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association January 31, 2012 The Committee convened in...
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S&P cash surged on the open following yesterday’s mid afternoon 2 day cycle buy signal. The 5 day cycle indicator has been on the buy side since the middle of the day Monday.The last 2 day cycle projection yesterday of 1316 is now in the rear view mirror. The new projection of 1322 is...
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Here are today’s gold stock screens and data, along with cycle conditions and projections for gold and HUI index, and Chart of the Day picks for swing trades. Indispensable daily information for gold and precious metals stocks traders.Click here to download complete report in pdf format (Professional Edition Subscribers). See the current full sized...
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Technical indicators are increasingly signaling a correction, but the market is giving little ground. Amazon is giving it an excuse to sell off after the bell, but the S&P futures have barely budged. Bad news is “company specific.”
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The Case Shiller housing price index was released this morning and, as usual, it’s getting lots of media attention. I have no problem with that, except for one minor detail. It is a worthless and misleading indicator of current housing market conditions. Back in 2010 I wrote a public article called The Trouble With...
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SPX cash left us with a 2 day cycle projection of 1318 at yesterday’s close. Say bye bye to that. The new projection is 1328. A 3 day cycle projection points to 1326, and a new 5 day cycle projection resulting from this morning’s gap open points to 1329. Resistance is suggested at a...
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Here are today’s gold stock screens and data, along with cycle conditions and projections for gold and HUI index, and Chart of the Day picks for swing trades. Indispensable daily information for gold and precious metals stocks traders.Click here to download complete report in pdf format (Professional Edition Subscribers). See the current full sized...
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The market is as ripe as it gets for a correction.
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Liquidity indicators backed off slightly from their recent strength last week, but overall they remain firm. I see no reason to expect either a big selloff or a big move higher in either stock or bond prices. The rangebound behavior of the markets shouldn’t change, except for one thing. The rumors are that the...
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Consistent with reports in the Wall Street Examiner Professional Edition Treasury Updates, the government will borrow less in the first quarter than it had originally forecast, primarily due to a big increase in withholding taxes since mid December. It is also estimating a much lower borrowing rate for the second quarter, meaning that its...
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WASHINGTON - The recovery continued to firm in the The recovery continued to firm in the final quarter of last year, and labor market conditions improved. According to the advance GDP report released last week, the economy grew by 2.8 percent at an annual rate in the fourth quarter, the tenth straight quarter of...
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SPX cash hit the 8 day cycle centerline at 1320 late on Friday and immediately began to pull back. It had also hit a 2 day cycle projection of 1320. The 2 day cycle oscillator however did not get to the sell side by the close. They left that for this morning’s open after...
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Here are today’s gold stock screens and data, along with cycle conditions and projections for gold and HUI index, and Chart of the Day picks for swing trades. Indispensable daily information for gold and precious metals stocks traders.Click here to download complete report in pdf format (Professional Edition Subscribers). See the current full sized...
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The rally has stalled and time counts suggest that a correction is due, but centered moving average projections still point higher. Which should get more weight?
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David Stockman gave his insights on Mitt, Newt, crony capitalism, and the private equity controversy this week on Dylan Ratigan’s MSNBC show. He laid the blame for the current mess not just on cronyism and corruption, but particularly on the zero interest rate policy of the Fed. No one tells this story better or...
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The blowoff ended yesterday morning and SPX cash has drifted down irregularly, hitting the last 2 day cycle projection of 1315 late yesterday. The 2 day cycle oscillator formed a trough at the end of the day, and has barely edged to the buy side in the opening minutes today. 5 day cycle indicators...
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Here are today’s gold stock screens and data, along with cycle conditions and projections for gold and HUI index, and Chart of the Day picks for swing trades. Indispensable daily information for gold and precious metals stocks traders.Click here to download complete report in pdf format (Professional Edition Subscribers). See the current full sized...
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Not enough happened yesterday to materially change the outlook.
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Treasury yields reached the top of the recent range and appeared headed for a breakout when along came Ben, with his mighty arms outstretched he lifts up the playing field and tilts it, and back down yields went, in spite of the big week of Treasury auctions and the market facing a big wad...
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After hitting yesterday’s late 2 day cycle projection of 1327 the rally marched on this morning with SPX (cash) opening strong and the 2 day cycle projection edging up to 1330, which was hit on the opening surge. That’s also about where the 3 and 5 day cycle projections were pointing as of yesterday...
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Here are today’s gold stock screens and data, along with cycle conditions and projections for gold and HUI index, and Chart of the Day picks for swing trades. Indispensable daily information for gold and precious metals stocks traders.Click here to download complete report in pdf format (Professional Edition Subscribers). See the current full sized...
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