Fed QE $5.000B CouponPurchase 2020-04-27 NYFed treasury securities operations
Evidence is increasing that we will not see the March low materially exceeded in nominal terms. This may have little meaning in terms of the future purchasing power of a dollar, but at least nominally the worst seems over. The Fed has won this round and is, for now, again in control of the stock market.
New bull market? No. Unproven. New lows to come or a retest? No. Unproven. Markets are engaged in a key battle between the worst evolving fundamental picture in our lifetimes on the […]
Ever resolute, the Fed kept pumping the cash into Primary Dealer accounts. It kept at it until, as I calculated elsewhere, it had pumped in about $800 billion more than the dealers, and indeed the entire world, needed to absorb the flood of Treasury supply that was hammering it. That happened by the middle of April.
It was enough for the dealers to get back to their fun business of acquiring inventories of stocks, marking them up, triggering short squeezes, and convincing their herds of institutional sheep customers to follow the shorts and dive back into the market with whatever cash they had raised on the way down.
It worked, as we all know. Stocks have recovered around 55% of what they lost in the crash.
But the Fed has started to do the tighten up. Here’s what you need to know.
Now on a weekly basis, we’re witnessing things that couldn’t happen – actually happen.
You should be seriously unnerved by the slow decline in LIBOR.
Basing one’s decisions on analogs from the past is entering a fool’s paradise of folly.Like addicts who cannot control their cravings, financial analysts cannot stop themselves from seeking some analog situation in the past which will clarify the swirl…
The market is on easy street today. It’s getting its usually daily injection from the Fed, while the Treasury is sidelined, not doing any borrowing today. So all that cash gets to sit around for a whole 4 days until a new wad of Treasury supply hits.
Meanwhile, at the Dear Leader’s suggestion, Trump supporters inject themselves with bleach or isopropyl alcohol to stave off infection with the virus. That’s a good thing. Let’s hope it’s the start of a trend that flattens the curve so we can all get back to normal lives.
The Fed gives Primary Dealers money every day now. The dealers use that money to buy Treasury paper from Uncle Sam. Whatever the dealers don’t need for that purpose, they use to create mischief in the financial markets. You really need to know how much money they’re getting, how much they need, and how much mischief is coming as a result, every day. I’m happy to help you get that information.
Monetary policy can be implemented through outright purchases or sales of securities, which permanently changes the size of the Federal Reserve’s System Open Market Account (SOMA) portfolio.