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Doug Noland’s Credit Bubble Bulletin: Drone Money

With highly speculative securities markets having fully recovered COVID losses – and Nasdaq sporting a 17% y-t-d return – why the talk of more QE? And with 10-year yields at 0.63% and financial conditions extraordinarily loose, what’s the purpose for discussing the pegging of Treasury bond prices (aka “yield curve control”)? Aren’t the markets already conspicuously over-liquefied?

The Hourly Chart is Bullish… What Else Is New? 7/17/20 UPDATED 1:20 PM ET

Yes, it looks bullish again. Although last night toward the close in New York when it looked like it would launch it stalled, and it’s still in that same range. So the fuel doesn’t seem to be there for follow through. Let’s see what happens this morning. A failure to get through 3212 on the ES would give the bears the ball. 

For now, the indicators say a move up is likely with targets of 3220-3230.  Not a big deal.