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Russell 2000 Resistance

The small caps have been banging around their range ever since they entered it on January 18th. We are getting close to the top of that range. I would point out in particular the blue trendline; any surviving bears out there do NOT want to see pric…

Europa

Let’s jump overseas and look at a few interesting outside-the-US ETF charts. First up is the Eurozone, which is sporting a massive rounded top pattern. The monster question has to do with those two horizontal lines – – has the bou…

Doug Noland’s Credit Bubble Bulletin: Inklings of Secular Change

Market dynamics suggest a fundamental secular change in commodities derivative markets… This points to powerful inflationary biases throughout the commodities universe. Moreover, central banks risk throwing gas on an inflationary fire when they respond to financial market illiquidity with additional QE/monetary inflation.

A key question is whether this secular shift in commodities markets portends a secular cycle downturn for financial assets? I believe it does.

Euro Area Wage Growth

Wages In the Euro Area increased 1.50 percent in December of 2021 over the same month in the previous year. Wage Growth in the Euro Area averaged 1.98 percent from 2009 until 2021, reaching an all time high of 5.40 percent in the second quarter of 2020…

Euro Area Balance of Trade

Euro Area recorded a trade deficit of 27200 EUR Million in January of 2022. Balance of Trade in the Euro Area averaged 7290.45 EUR Million from 1999 until 2022, reaching an all time high of 30614.30 EUR Million in July of 2015 and a record low of -2720…