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Proof of How QE Works – Fed to Primary Dealers, to Markets, To Money

There’s so much confusion out there about how money gets from the Fed into the stock and bond markets. I see the comments in my Twitter feed. People are clueless. Like how M1 is causal. Or how the Fed pumps money into the banking system and that doubles back somehow to speculative bubbles.

Bloomberg US Treasury (BUST) Channel Sends Bullish Signal

In the mid month QE update, I concluded the intro summary with this warning:

1/16/21 At this point, it seems like we are on the edge of the precipice. The risks are enormous. At the very least, I don’t see the likelihood of significant upside for either stocks or bonds.

Likewise, this could very easily go south in a big way. The Fed would need to act. Would it be too late? Would the market even respond?