The US Treasury continues to pay down T-Bills. That puts cash back into the accounts of the dealers and investors that had held the securities…
Liquidity Trader – US Treasury Market Trend Supply and Demand
Analysis of new Treasury supply and major demand market segments to estimate market liquidity impacts for bonds and stocks. Resulting market strategy recommendations. Click here to subscribe. Now published at Lee Adler’s Liquidity Trader.
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Liquidity Trader - US Treasury Market Trend Supply and Demand
We Knew the Treasury Paydowns Would Be Bullish, But What Now?
by Lee Adler • • 0 Comments
Last month in the Treasury Supply update (May 16) I wrote that the debt ceiling would continue to force the Treasury to pay down debt, short term T-bills in particular. I said that the paydowns “will continue until the end of Q2. That’s bullish for bonds, and possibly for stocks.” Follow the money. Find the…
Liquidity Trader - US Treasury Market Trend Supply and Demand
Primary Dealer Positions Bulging, Bloated, and Overstuffed, Could Explode
by Lee Adler • • 0 Comments
Primary Dealer positions are record long, record leveraged, and record dangerous. Follow the money. Find the profits!Liquidity is money. Regardless of where in the world that money originates, eventually it flows to and through Wall Street. So if you want to know the direction of the next big moves in stocks and bonds, just follow…
Liquidity Trader - US Treasury Market Trend Supply and Demand, Liquidity Trader Complete
Ticking Time Bomb In The Treasury Market Could Blow Up The World
by Lee Adler • • 0 Comments
The Treasury market will look very bullish for a little while. But the aftermath of the forces that look bullish now, will be terrible. Here’s why. Follow the money. Find the profits!Liquidity is money. Regardless of where in the world that money originates, eventually it flows to and through Wall Street. So if you want…
Liquidity Trader - US Treasury Market Trend Supply and Demand
Primary Dealer Positions Are a Black Cloud Over the Market
by Lee Adler • • 0 Comments
Dealer positions look scary. Here’s why, and what to do about it to protect yourself, AND take advantage! Follow the money. Find the profits!Liquidity is money. Regardless of where in the world that money originates, eventually it flows to and through Wall Street. So if you want to know the direction of the next big…
Liquidity Trader - US Treasury Market Trend Supply and Demand
Beware of these Warning Signals on Treasuries
by Lee Adler • • 0 Comments
Follow the money. Find the profits!Liquidity is money. Regardless of where in the world that money originates, eventually it flows to and through Wall Street. So if you want to know the direction of the next big moves in stocks and bonds, just follow the money. Lee Adler’s Liquidity Trader tracks and shows you the…
Liquidity Trader - US Treasury Market Trend Supply and Demand, Must Read
Here’s How Light Treasury Supply In April and May Create Selling Opportunities in Bonds and Stocks
by Lee Adler • • 0 Comments
Follow the money. Find the profits!Liquidity is money. Regardless of where in the world that money originates, eventually it flows to and through Wall Street. So if you want to know the direction of the next big moves in stocks and bonds, just follow the money. Lee Adler’s Liquidity Trader tracks and shows you the…
Liquidity Trader - US Treasury Market Trend Supply and Demand
These Charts Show How Primary Dealers Create Huge Risk as They Get Longer and Longer the Bond Market
by Lee Adler • • 0 Comments
The Primary Dealers continue to carry historically massive net long fixed income positions, purchased with debt, resulting in huge increases in leverage. They are hedging in the futures markets, and have reduced their Treasury longs a bit over the past month. But their overall net long exposure continues to grow. Here’s what history tells us…
Liquidity Trader - US Treasury Market Trend Supply and Demand, Liquidity Trader Complete
Charts Show Increased Speculative Leverage Driving Rallies in Stocks and Bonds
by Lee Adler • • 0 Comments
Meanwhile, instead of liquidating other assets to raise the cash to buy new Treasury supply, dealers and other buyers have used up cash and added to their leverage. The rally has been pushed by a massive increase in leveraged speculation. This leaves the markets increasingly vulnerable. Here’s what to look for and how to trade…
Liquidity Trader - US Treasury Market Trend Supply and Demand
Here’s Why Bonds Rallying Despite Burgeoning Supply is Bad News
by Lee Adler • • 0 Comments
The BLS reported a very weak jobs number this morning. Treasuries are rallying again. How the BLS got that number in the face of surge in withholding tax collections in February is a mystery, but the likely outcome isn’t. Here’s why it’s bad news for both bonds and stocks, along with a recommendation what to…