The bears took control last week, crushing all the uptrend lines I had drawn on this chart. Now we have a well-defined downtrend. The market has also edged below several old long term and intermediate trendline extensions. If these aren’t immediately recrossed, the downside becomes wide open.
Technical Trader
Weekly stock market update featuring Lee Adler’s proprietary cycle analysis, price and time projections and SPY put and call trading recommendations. Click here to subscribe. Now published at Lee Adler’s Liquidity Trader.
Technical Trader
Monday Monday, Can’t Trust That Day
by Lee Adler • • 0 Comments
We have a selloff in the pre market, but the TA says, don’t trust it yet. Or maybe, “Trust, but verify,” for those of you of a certain age, like me.
Meanwhile, as for chart picks, I didn’t see much that I liked in this week’s screens. I didn’t add any longs. We’re already loaded to the gills there. I added two shorts, and one is conditional on a limit price entry.
4 picks were stopped out last week. With the the 2 new picks, that will leave 16 open picks, including 12 longs, and 4 shorts.
List performance improved last week, with the average gain increasing from +2.9% to +3.8%. The average holding period rose from 12 calendar days to 13, which is still less than the usual 16-20 days because I added a slew of new picks the previous week.
Chart picks are theoretical, assume 100% cash stock trades, no margin, no options, no futures.
I once read somewhere that past performance doesn’t indicate future results, or something. Is that true? Hopefully it is, considering some of my past performances.
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What Selloff? Here We Go Again
by Lee Adler • • 0 Comments
Short term cycles have entered down phases. But this looks like a consolidation, not a top.Here’s why and what to do about it. Follow the money. Find the profits!Liquidity is money. Regardless of where in the world that money originates, eventually it flows to and through Wall Street. So if you want to know the…
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Bullish Signals Abound
by Lee Adler • • 0 Comments
Scheduled liquidity data has told us for a couple of months that October would be bullish. That played out like a charm in terms of the technical analysis last week. We also know that liquidity only gets more bullish this week. The technical picture confirms that outlook. We must give the bullish factors the benefit of the doubt.
My stock pick screens confirm that. I’m adding 7 picks from those screens this week, 5 long and 2 short. That will leave 13 open picks, including 11 longs, and the 2 new shorts.
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Tick Tock – Market Is a Broken Clock
by Lee Adler • • 0 Comments
Mixed cyclicality has led to a rangebound market. There’s no sign that that will change this week. But look out if it does!
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The Bulls Are Back
by Lee Adler • • 0 Comments
An up day on Monday would confirm that the short term downtrend is broken. This report gives you the key support and resistance levels, and what to expect if they’re broken. I’ve added 8 chart picks, 5 longs and 3 shorts, to take advantage of a move either way. Follow the money. Find the profits!Liquidity…
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Bears Have A Chance To Break The Market
by Lee Adler • • 0 Comments
An important low is due right now but bears have a chance to break the market. This report shows you the setup and gives you picks to play both ways. Current long/short swing trade chart picks are up 6.9% (100% cash basis) on average, with an average holding period of 3 weeks. This week I…
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Where There’s Fire, There’s Smoke
by Lee Adler • • 0 Comments
The June selloff was 265 points high to low. So far, the current selloff has hit 278. Bigger? Nope, not in percentage terms. This one is -7.7%. That one was -8.2%. So, we can still say that this time isn’t different.
Yet. But there’s smoke. Plenty of it.
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This Time Isn’t Different Yet
by Lee Adler • • 0 Comments
Here’s why the other shoe hasn’t dropped yet, but where it might.
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The Genius Move Was Following the Crowd
by Lee Adler • • 0 Comments
Following the crowd would have made you the most money. But now what?