The COVID 19 pandemic is, predictably, worsening again in much of the US. Only the Northeast, and to a lesser extent some Midwestern states, have…
The Monthly Treasury Statement for May confirms that the economy rebounded during the month, but more recent data through last week suggests that the rebound has already expired. Signs of renewed weakness come when the numbers are still far from a full recovery. The economy is beginning to weaken again, starting from weakness.
That’s relevant because it means that the Federal government will need to continue to issue massive amounts of debt. It may not be quite as much as in March and April, but it will still be at least double past peak levels.
We also know that the Fed has sharply cut the amount of that debt that it is directly absorbing or financing.
Here’s what this means for your investing strategy.
The state formerly known as Arizona. This data typically lags.
Note from Tim: I think I could save myself a lot of time and energy by just publishing really good emails. This is another one I just received from Lee Adler of the Wall Street Examiner.
The Fed has now promised QE infinity. But will it be enough, in the face of Federal deficit financing to infinity and beyond? Because for…
US Commercial Bank data had been sending warning signals that all was not well for at least a year before the stock market crashed. I chronicled that in these reports.
The warning signals came to fruition in February and March.
But then the Fed stepped into the breach and went crazy. What the Fed did, and is still doing, went beyond “unprecedented.” It was nuts.
Gold’s intermediate term outlook is back in a familiar stance. We’re not too worried about it. Of course, things can change.
Cycle alignments are still mostly bullish, but now extended. The 6 month cycle remains bullish, and already stratospheric cycle projections for the S&P and QQQ have gone even higher.
How much more can an erstwhile bear take? How much more should they? Here are some suggestions.
To the degree that it’s true, the idea that the US economy is recovering is a catastrophic notion for the financial markets. Surprisingly, the withholding…
Total nonfarm payrolls as reported by the Trump Regime Bureau of Liar Statistics rose 2.25 million on a not seasonally adjusted basis, before downward revisions for March and April. This is based on a comparison of the year to year change for May vs. the year to year change for April.
Hidden beneath the headlines was a lot of bad news.