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Author: Lee Adler

I’ve been publishing The Wall Street Examiner and its predecessor since October 2000. I also publish LiquidityTrader.com, and was lead analyst for Sure Money Investor, of blessed memory. I developed David Stockman’s Contra Corner for Mr. Stockman. I’ve had a wide variety of finance related jobs since 1972, including a stint on Wall Street in both sales, analytical, and trading capacities. Prior to starting the Wall Street Examiner I was a commercial real estate appraiser in Florida for 15 years. I was considered an expert in the analysis of failed properties that ended up in the hands of bank REO divisions, the FDIC, and the RTC. Remember those guys? I also worked in the residential mortgage and real estate businesses in parts of the 1970s and 80s. I have been charting stocks and markets and doing analytical work since I was a teenager. I’m not some Ivory Tower academic, Wall Street guy. My perspective comes from having my boots on the ground and in the trenches, as a real estate broker, mortgage broker, trader, account rep, and analyst. I’ve watched most of the games these Wall Street wiseguys play from right up close. I know the drill from my 55 years of paying attention. And I’m happy to share that experience with you, right here.
Full TIme Employment Ratio Chart August

3 Charts of Jobs Data Without the Seasonal Adjustment BS

The BLS provides seasonally adjusted (SA) data to make it impossible to see what actually happened in the first report each month. They do it to give economists and Wall Street mouthpieces something to do. Meanwhile, it’s much easier to see the truth with the actual not seasonally manipulated data (NSA). 

Here are a few charts showing August data in the context of actual historical data NSA. 

Another BTFD Moment 9/4/20

While I think that yesterday was a warning shot across the bow, I’m voting twice in favor of it being yet another BTFD moment. I’ll take a deeper look at the big picture in this weekend’s Technical Trader, which you can try risk free for 90 days if you are not now nor have ever been a member of our party.

Meanwhile, here’s the view for today.