At 6:50 AM in New York, the 2-3 day cycle projection looks 3700. No 5 day cycle projection yet. The uptrend channel line is currently at 3676, moving to around 3685 at the NY open and 3690 at noon. Bears’ task will be to break that. Otherwise, todamoon.
Here in Europe when the business day started around 8 AM (2 AM NY) somebody dropped a big turd. The ES fell through support to the next support area around 3640. That’s the bottom of the current effective downtrend channel.
Withholding tax collections were relatively stable through November. But the 5 day average ticked a hair below November’s low here in early December. New lows would suggest that December’s jobs data will be awful, which will add to the likelihood of more stimulus, both fiscal and monetary. Whether that’s bullish or not depends on the Fed. The wrong fiscal/monetary balance could ignite a conflagration.
It’s an 80s dance party. Let’s get high and dance!
Signs of an intermediate low have joined last weeks indications of a short term bottom. New mining picks got off to a good start, but there are obstacles.
I can’t wait to see the up.
Will today be another Day of Infamy in the market. When Europe opened, it walked away from Friday’s gains in New York and went right back to where it left off trading the ES fucutures when Europe’s trading day ended. Apparently, they don’t think too mu…
About a year ago I began offering both long and shortsale swing trade chart picks as a (potential) value added feature to the usual general…
It’s bizarre, but tradeable.
Sometimes the mouth goes faster than the brain.
I chat with Lindsay Williams on his Strictly Business Podcast, once every couple of months. When I spoke with him on Thanksgiving Day I said something that I immediately realized was wrong. I said that there’s no way to know how leveraged the Primary Dealers are in their bond portfolios.
Of course, that’s wrong.