Recent weakness has negated the upside implications of the reverse head and shoulders pattern that formed between October and January. The up phase in the 9-12 month cycle now looks like it will remain flat. Here’s what needs to happen to keep things on the up and up. And a gold miner pick to swing.
Macro Liquidity continues to bulge. The stock market has followed. It became oversold versus the surge in liquidity that the Fed initiated in March 2020. And it hasn’t looked back since. Should we expect to see stock prices become overbought again before the next big crash?
Short term cycles have topped out and concurrent down phases are ideally due to last 2-3 weeks. With weak upward momentum in the 6 month cycAle, the potential exists for a significant downdraft. That, in turn would signal the onset of a 6 month cycle down phase. This is the best shot that bears have had for a turn in the tide since August-September.
Both bonds and stocks have weakened over the past 2 weeks. It’s a sign that the Fed isn’t supplying enough QE. We’ve known for a…
Chilling.
Buy it? Or sell the rip?
A major swing cycle is in trouble.
The market appears to be early in a 5 day cycle up phase that began yesterday afternoon. So far, it is weak but it is working on breaking out of a downtrend channel, as of 4:30 AM New Yak time.
The risks are astronomical despite improved tax collections. Subscribers, click here to download the report. Available at this link for legacy Treasury subscribers. KNOW WHAT’S…
I guess we’ll find out.