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Yesterday morning I stuck my tongue firmly in my butt cheek and produced this chart of the ES, S&P 500 fugutures.
April Tax Collections Still Running Red Hot Mean That Fed Must Get Tighter
The Fed is Tightening Into a Sheet Storm
So far, it isn’t right, but it isn’t wrong either. At least not yet.
Yesterday, I wrote:
On 11/17/2021 at 11:03 AM, DrStool said:Now I’m not going to play pretend and act like I know which this is. I’ll let the market tell us. It’s pretty clear that if they don’t break 4675 later today, this sucker is likely headed for the freakin’ moon. This top/bottom pattern would have a conventional measured move target of 4795 if it breaks out to the upside.
Today, we’re still in mid No Man’s Land.
The parameters to watch today are 4695 and 4685 on the downside. Bears need to retake those to have any shot at getting anything going on the downside. Bulls still need to clear 4718 for an upside breakout, and potentially explosive projectile move.
So the zig zig lives until proven otherwise.
For more on the big picture and elsewhere:
Gold Breaks Out, Sets New Targets, Miners Move
Benefit of the Doubt to the Upside Until Proven Otherwise
The Fed Pulls The Plug, Macro Liquidity Cruiser Starts Its Turn
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