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Why We Should Expect Something Different This Time 4/19/21

This is a syndicated repost courtesy of Stool Pigeons Wire at To view original, click here. Reposted with permission.

First, let’s start with a little perspective. This is a 2 hour bar chart back to early March. Lately the market has risen for 10 days on weaker momentum. It suggests that this 10 days has been a down phase of sorts, relative to the two previous uplegs. That would imply a breakout and acceleration ahead. On the other hand, the big scoop in the middle of the chart from which this launched only has a measuring implication of 4160. We got a little higher to the trend resistance zone now around 4185-4200.

Click to enlarge

I expect they’ll test that again today. A breakout would trigger a fearsome rally, I think. A vertical space needle. On the other hand, a rollover is likely to result in more rangebound mush. Breaking below 4160 could generate a bit of a downdraft to trend support, now rising at 4145 at 5:45 AM in New York, to 4155 at the close this afternoon.

tvc_3c358d7393d25fbede863e74844cd5fb.pngClick to enlarge.

As always, the benefit of the doubt goes to the upside resolution scenario until proven otherwise. Although I don’t see a reason why it would do other than stay in the current channel and work gradually higher.

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This is a syndicated post, which originally appeared at Stool Pigeons Wire at Capitalstool.comView original post.


Swing Trade Picks For Week of April 19, 2021

Wall Street Examiner Disclosure: Lee Adler, The Wall Street Examiner reposts third party content with the permission of the publisher. The opinions expressed in these reposts are not those of the Wall Street Examiner or Lee Adler, unless authored by me, under my byline. I curate posts here on the basis of whether they represent an interesting and logical point of view, that may or may not agree with my own views. Some of the content includes the original publisher's promotional messages. No endorsement of such content is either expressed or implied by posting the content. All items published here are matters of information and opinion, and are neither intended as, nor should you construe it as, individual investment advice. Do your own due diligence when considering the offerings of information providers, or considering any investment.

Lee Adler

I’ve been publishing The Wall Street Examiner and its predecessor since October 2000. I also publish, and was lead analyst for Sure Money Investor, of blessed memory. I developed David Stockman's Contra Corner for Mr. Stockman. I’ve had a wide variety of finance related jobs since 1972, including a stint on Wall Street in both sales, analytical, and trading capacities. Prior to starting the Wall Street Examiner I was a commercial real estate appraiser in Florida for 15 years. I was considered an expert in the analysis of failed properties that ended up in the hands of bank REO divisions, the FDIC, and the RTC. Remember those guys? I also worked in the residential mortgage and real estate businesses in parts of the 1970s and 80s. I have been charting stocks and markets and doing analytical work since I was a teenager. I'm not some Ivory Tower academic, Wall Street guy. My perspective comes from having my boots on the ground and in the trenches, as a real estate broker, mortgage broker, trader, account rep, and analyst. I've watched most of the games these Wall Street wiseguys play from right up close. I know the drill from my 55 years of paying attention. And I'm happy to share that experience with you, right here. 

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