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So Hard to Process 1/8/20

Even though I knew it was coming, and I warned about it here and elsewhere for the past couple of years, I’m having difficulty processing the Trump coup attempt.

I’m still not sure that it has failed. I’m not at all confident that things are under control, and that the US will have a functioning government. There’s a large contingent of seditionists in the Republican Party, and despite the fact that they represent only 10% of the electorate, they have an armed and dangerous horde of madmen and idiots at their disposal. And they have collaborators and co-conspirators at the highest levels of many, if not most, police departments throughout the US.

I remain very worried. I have always been, and remain deeply critical of US government policy, regardless of Administration, and the rampant corruption endemic in both political parties. But one thing I know for sure is that the US needs a functioning government, elected by the people, for us to have any chance to survive with a relative degree of freedom from oppression.  The Rule of Law, as deeply flawed as it is, must prevail, or we are doomed.

The 5 day cycle projection is 3815-30. The low end of the range was hit in the overnight session. Hourly indicators have edged to the sell side, but remain high in positive territory, which means that the uptrend is still intact. A couple of trendlines come together at 3805 as of now – 6:45 AM ET. If they break, then we could see some downside.

I saw signs of a vicious short squeeze yesterday as stocks that were on sell signals reversed and got bought heavily and relentlessly. Once that burns out we should see a downdraft. But I’m not ready to place any bets on it yet.

On the other side of the coin, on intraday charts almost everything that was on buy signals looks extended and primed for a pullback.  Only if they break 3795 is any significant downside likely.


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Now That We’re Through the Month-end QE Shortage for an in depth longer term view and swing trade chart picks.

This Week Will Tell If The Bear is Really Coming Out of Hibernation

Last week’s selloff did less damage than it may have felt like. The drop stopped in the area of 3 crossing uptrend lines, ranging in length from short term to long term. Here’s what would tell us whether the uptrend is still in force, or signal that something evil this way comes.

I have added 8 new stocks to the swing trade chart pick list, including 2 shorts.

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These reports are not investment advice. They are for informational purposes, for a broad audience of investment and trading professionals, and other experienced investors and traders. Chart pick performance changes week to week and past performance may not indicate future results, as you know. Trading involves risk, and these reports assume that you understand those risks and manage them according to your tolerance. 

Lee Adler

I’ve been publishing The Wall Street Examiner and its predecessor since October 2000. I also publish, and was lead analyst for Sure Money Investor, of blessed memory. I developed David Stockman's Contra Corner for Mr. Stockman. I’ve had a wide variety of finance related jobs since 1972, including a stint on Wall Street in both sales, analytical, and trading capacities. Prior to starting the Wall Street Examiner I was a commercial real estate appraiser in Florida for 15 years. I was considered an expert in the analysis of failed properties that ended up in the hands of bank REO divisions, the FDIC, and the RTC. Remember those guys? I also worked in the residential mortgage and real estate businesses in parts of the 1970s and 80s. I have been charting stocks and markets and doing analytical work since I was a teenager. I'm not some Ivory Tower academic, Wall Street guy. My perspective comes from having my boots on the ground and in the trenches, as a real estate broker, mortgage broker, trader, account rep, and analyst. I've watched most of the games these Wall Street wiseguys play from right up close. I know the drill from my 55 years of paying attention. And I'm happy to share that experience with you, right here. 

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