The April 14 Technical Trader confirms what the model projected last July: the S&P 500 topped in the 6000–6200 range, right on schedule. A short-term rally is in play, but price and breadth momentum remain impaired. The next move will be determine…
The system isn’t stable—it’s quietly deteriorating. Foreign capital is pulling back. Liquidity is being recycled into deleveraging, not risk. The market hasn’t priced this in.
→ Get the full Macro Liquidity breakdown and real-time liquidity signals be…
Don’t use AI, that’s for sure.
I have returned to doing almost everything myself. AI gets more errors than hits. Bunch of bullshit.
Market Tests Its Limits
Lee Adler 2 – Technical Trader April 14, 2025
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145% China Tariffs Will Cause a Depression Says AI Analysis
AI Agent Directed by Lee Adler Lee’s Free Thinking April 10, 2025 0 Comments
Mainstream narratives do not, and will not be able to cover the full implications of a 145% ta…
Mainstream narratives do not, and will not be able to cover the full implications of a 145% tariff on Chinese goods, especially given how sudden and extreme such a policy would be. Let’s walk through several scenarios under this regime, starting from the immediate shock to the long-term economic and labor market consequences.
Tariff headlines triggered a violent rebound—but traders didn’t trust it, and AI didn’t either. The Adler Wave Model confirms what the Street already sensed: the rally stopped at broken support, and the setup still points lower—unless proven otherwise by specific follow-through.
Yesterday’s explosion was the equity shorts blowing up. Before that was the Treasury basis traders blowing up. Liquidity is being destroyed in both directions. This won’t end well.
Yogi Berra famously said, “You can observe a lot by watching.” I’ve been watching markets since the late 1960s. As a young trader in the…
So, when does the Fed intervene?
WTF does that mean?