The ES, S&P 500 24 hour futures need to clear 4500 this morning or the bears can take control. Clearing that would open the way for a move back to 4520-30, where the bull case would be tested again. On the other hand, failing to clear would open th…
These comments are an excerpt from the Liquidity Trader Report on current US Federal withholding tax collections. They tell us that the US economy is…
The market put in a 5 day cycle low yesterday. The ES, 24 hour S&P futures now face resistance at 4525. If they clear it, then yes, Virginia, BTFD lives.
On the other hand, there’s a spport line convergence at 4514. If broken, the market could…
When I heard it through the grapevine that the market had given a big sign.
That’s right. The market made a top and broke down without so much as the by-your-leave, obligatory bounce from spport that I was looking for. So much for that. The break…
Good morning. I made it to the Alsace Lorraine yesterday after a brief stopover in Basel Switzerland to see and pay homage to the Basel III Accords. It was a moving experience even though I was unable to find the exhibit. I went to the Basel Rathaus (p…
Up, up, and away?
But before that I do want to say that I enjoyed meeting FXfox in his hometown of Heidelberg, Germany yesterday. We took a walk on the Philosopher’s Path above the Neckar River. How appropriate, huh? 😄 I got a little history of th…
I bagan forecasting this two months ago when I became aware of the enormous, record hedge fund short position in the 10 yea prior to the suspension of the debt ceiling in June. I warned that the markets would crack if yields started moving higher, as I…
Today, I have arrived in Rothenburg ob der Tauber, supposedly the most beautiful village in Germany.
We’ll see.
Meanwhile, the stock market has had another breakout. This time from a high base built over the past 5 days. It’s another bottom…
We merely need an hourly close below 4550 to create a lower high on the chart of the ES 24 S&P hour futures. On the other hand, a move above 4565 would have a conventional measured move implication of 4595.
Sigh.
Right now, we appear to …
Money rates are now slightly positive to consumer inflation. Historically they’ve reached punitive levels before the market turned. In other words, monetary policy is not…