Liquidity Trader – Macro Liquidity- Fed and Banking

Analysis of the major forces of macro liquidity that drive markets, including the Fed, foreign central banks, and the US and European banking systems. Resulting market strategy recommendations. Click here to subscribe. Now published at Lee Adler’s Liquidity Trader.

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Show Me the Money! See the Market.

US Commercial Bank data had been sending warning signals that all was not well for at least a year before the stock market crashed. I chronicled that in these reports.

The warning signals came to fruition in February and March.

But then the Fed stepped into the breach and went crazy. What the Fed did, and is still doing, went beyond “unprecedented.” It was nuts.

Fed’s Curve Flattening Starts To Flatten Stock Prices

The Fed has cut back its POMO purchases to an average of $8 billion per day of Treasuries and $6 billion of MBS this week. That’s down from $10 billion and $8 billion last week, and hundreds of billions in the peak of the panic in April.

The effects of that are beginning to show up in stock prices.  Be prepared because here’s what happens next.

The Fed Flattens The Curve – Stocks Follow

Today’s the day. The Fed announces its next plan. You may have already seen it by the time you read this.

But really. What difference does it make? The Fed has trashed its plan without notice 3 times in the past year and a half.

In the past 2 months, it has had no plan at all. It just responds willy-nilly to whatever happens in the news. My god! The Fed bailed out Carnival Cruise Lines. You know we’re in trouble when the Fed bails out Carnival. The blatant cronyism of the plutocrat class is breathtaking. And the sheep just yawn, placated by a few crumbs thrown their way.

So Jerry and the JayJays will sing yet a new song today. Maybe they’ll stick with the new tune for a few weeks or months. Maybe they won’t. We just have to keep tracking what they do and watching the market response.

Here’s what you need to know.