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Interest Rates Are Real, But Not Real Enough

Money rates are now slightly positive to consumer inflation.  Historically they’ve reached punitive levels before the market turned. In other words, monetary policy is not tight enough to stop the asset price inflation.  That’s because the RRP slush fund withdrawals are far outstripping the Fed’s QT in adding money to the market versus the draining from QT.

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We’re Not There Yet

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