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Stocks – The Safe Haven, Risk Off Play 5/25/23

That’s not a laughable concept anymore.

As expected, the 5 day cycle bottomed yesterday. It did so just a hair below the sport lines we pointed to in the pre market yesterday. So far, nothing terrible has happened yet. Today doesn’t look like the day either, unless you’re a bear, in which case all days are terrible. This market just won’t knuckle under to common sense. Sorry, it doesn’t work like that.

So we should expect a 5 day cycle up phase to benefit stocks until tomorrow. The ES, 24 hour S&P futures should head toward resistance around 4150. If it gets there, a conventional measured move would suggest a target of 4180-85. Getting there would suggest a subsequent drive to 4205. That’s where the market will hit the roof, so to speak.

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Meanwhile, the base breakout on the 10 year yield suggests a target of 3.98. That’s not a good thing. For anybody. Modestly Hedged Dealers, Record Short Hedge Funds Suggest Disaster Ahead

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For moron the markets, see:

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