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The Beatings Will Continue Until Morale Improves 2/28/23

That’s what this trading range feels like. Never ending pain for both sides.

The trend on the hourly chart of the ES, 24 hour S&P futures suggests that the bears have the upper hand. But the hourly oscillators show higher lows that make the pattern of the past week look like a base for a move up. However, for that potential to be actualized, the ES would need to break out through 4019.

Can it do that? I have no effing clue. I just know that it must take the first step, which would be to break out through 3993 this morning. Failing that, and Yogi Bear will remain in charge.

-eg5e

Meanwhile, over in the bond market, yields have hit a wall over the past week. There’s a big buyer, or several at 3.95 in the 10 year yield.

Or Janet, or Jay?

Who cares. There’s a buyer or buyers. And until those buyers are finished, yields are not going anywhere.

But remember, $71 billion in new Treasury paper will settle this week, and after that, endless supply until they run out of debt ceiling extreme measures. Then they do a deal. Then more endless supply.

-eg8p

For moron the markets, see:

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