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Wall Street’s Biggest Players Are on the Wrong Side of the Trade – Again

Lee Adler

📉 What’s Happening?

  • Dealer bond holdings have surged to record levels – Just as yields look set to rise.
  • Repo market stress is flashing red – A sign that leverage has reached unsustainable levels.
  • The debt ceiling wildcard – Temporary relief or the calm before a liquidity storm?

🔍 Key Takeaways:
✔ Extreme repo swings indicate liquidity stress—just as in past crises.
✔ Dealers are forced to fund Treasury supply at an accelerating pace.
✔ A liquidity crunch looms if borrowing outstrips collateral capacity.

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