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Get Your Red Hots Here

Withholding tax collections grew strongly in September. They weren’t alone. Other taxes also showed very strong growth. There’s no evidence of economic slowing. Every real time tax measure points to a rapidly growing economy right through October 1. The Fed is easing monetary conditions into a red hot environment. A rapidly growing economy coupled with Fed easing is a recipe for xxxxxxxxxx xxxxxxxxx xxxxxxxxx . Non-subscribers, click here for the rest of the story.

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If revenue continues this red-hot growth, it’s even possible that the November TBAC forecast will show at least a small reduction in expected Treasury supply. That’s something to keep in mind with the 10-year Treasury Yield breaking its 6-month downtrend today. This is a shift toward greater bearishness that I think is reasonable, but that could xxxxxxxxxxxx…

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