Menu Close

Market Runs Out of Money- 8/2/24

First, this. Why Primary Dealers Net Short Fixed Income Is Now Bad News for Stocks

Now a look at the 4 hour bars for some perspective on just how significant yesterday’s selloff was. This is not a joke.

If this morning’s weakness sticks, the breakdown of the pattern of the past week would have a conventional measured move target of 5245. As for the big top pattern that is breaking down, I won’t go there, because that’s long term, which is anything longer than 3 days. I cover that in the weekly Technical Trader reports, the last of which was Topping on the Cake. Next one coming up early Monday.

15ve2h

Finally our regular look at the hourly ES we are looking at a 4 day cycle basis projection of 5320. A bit premature for a 5 day cycle projection. 2-3 day cycle projection is 5390, done. The bulls can save their ass here with an hourly close above 5402. It is possible because the hourly cycle oscillators are buried and due for a Dover Sole bounce.

15veby

Then there’s this. What’s bullish for bondholders is a problem for Primary Dealers, and a big problem for stocks. I explain why, and what to expect. Why Primary Dealers Net Short Fixed Income Is Now Bad News for Stocks

15vegv

For moron the markets, see:

If you are a new visitor to the Stool, please register and join in! To post your observations and charts, and snide, but good-natured, comments, click here to register. Be sure to respond to the confirmation email which is sent instantly. If not in your inbox, check your spam folder.

RSS
Follow by Email
LinkedIn
LinkedIn
Share

Discover more from The Wall Street Examiner

Subscribe now to keep reading and get access to the full archive.

Continue reading