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Third Wind 5/16/24

Yesterday’s rally had a bit of not a second, but a third wind, feel to it. The first leg began around April 18, when I was reporting that cycles and liquidity showed the market was headed for a new high in this bull phase. The second wind started on May 2 after a false start on May 1. So after the lull of the past week, this looks like the third wind to me. Illustrating with the 2 hour bars on the ES.

14vwbi

The 5 day cycle projection on the ES is now 5335.

In my daily swing trade screens, the first pass for trend structure had 191 on the buy side and just 23 on the sell side. But only 2 of the buys passed the trigger screen, while 3 of the sells did. Both trigger numbers are extremely low, suggesting that it’s too late to buy and too early to sell.  Swing Trade Screen Picks – No Way!

The usual 1 hour bar look.

14vxrv

For moron the markets, see:   

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