So none of this is a surprise, but the market acted surprised yesterday because investors let Wall Street lead them around by the nose. The barkers on CNBC are the border collies working for Street overlords. The institutional clowns who watch that crap are the sheep, while the public stands bewildered, just handing their money over to these clueless venal, clowns.
Without the Fed on their side, as it was from 2009 to 2021, they stand no chance.
Meanwhile, the Powers that Be, including perhaps Janet Yellen’s PPT, find ways to keep the bottom from dropping out, lest there be too much panic for the system to handle. They can do that for awhile, but not indefinitely. Judgment Day is coming.
Maybe not today. The market, represented by the ES, S&P 500 24 hour futures chart, looks Dover Sole on most hourly chart time frames, and 3890-95 is a VISP: A very important sport level. The latest 5 day cycle projection of 3885 was hit.
On the other hand, crashes start from apparently Dover Sole lows. If this sport level gives way, an 80 point drop could happen in a heart beat.
On the other other hand, nothing lasting will happen on the upside unless they clear 3940 this morning.
The 10 year Treasury yield broke down yesterday on a risk off move. Total BS. It can’t last, but the measured move implication of the breakdown is in the 3.60-.65 range. A 4 week cycle projection of 3.83 was already hit yesterday. These reports clearly show, week in and week out, why any rallies in the bond market are doomed.
Gold is back in the middle of its 2 week trading range, likely headed back to the top of the range where important decisions will be made. And that is likely an understatement.
For moron the markets, see:
- Gold On Cusp of Brutal Outlook if This Happens March 8, 2023
- Swing Trade Screen Picks – 3 Buys, No Shorts March 6, 2023
- Mixed Bag of Signals Screaming, “Walk This Way” March 5, 2023
- February Withholding Taxes Say – Fade the Jobs Report! March 2, 2023
- Here’s Why There Will Never Be Bull Markets Until This One Thing Happens February 26, 2023
- You Can Now Follow the Diabolical Usual Suspects February 16, 2023
If you’re serious about the underlying forces of supply and demand that drive the markets, join me!
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