Natty Sine of the Times

Tim Knight January 10, 2023

Natural gas popped higher yesterday, and everyone was scurrying around saying it was time to buy NG. Zerohedge was particularly enthusiastic. Well, the pop didn’t last. My sinewave continues to hold sway:

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Gold Trader Update: Setup for Another Upleg?

Gold’s technical picture shows short-term cycles completing their bottoming process and aligning with longer-term upward momentum. The latest analysis reveals key cycle confluences that should drive the next major move. Multiple timeframes are getting in gear. I have chosen four mining stocks that look well positioned to take advantage of the next rally.

Liquidity Trader Swing Trade Picks- Mind My Torts, No New Shorts

All but a couple of shorts on the list were closed last week and none were added this week because the screens identified no good short-term setups.

Liquidity Cliff Timing Aligns with Cycle Tops: Market Meltup Risks Reversal

The S&P 500’s vertical meltup paused at a key regression channel centerline, as Monday’s downtick now threatens to become a reversal. Short-term cycles are peaking, the six-month cycle remains on a sell signal, and long-term projections face major internal conflict. The Cycle Wave Composite has reached levels that marked previous tops. Breadth is weakening. If xxxx breaks, it would confirm a major top.

Here are the specifics on what you need to know and to look for.

Publication Schedule Note

The Technical Trader Market Update will be posted on Tuesday again this week. I had intended to return to regular weekend or Monday morning postings…

Liquidity Cliff Came Early this Year, Unlike Easter. Will Markets Be Risen?

The cliff came early. I had projected August under the assumption of politics as usual. That assumption was wrong. Politics no longer works the way it used to, i.e., under a system of checks and balances. The one-party state lifted the debt ceiling by $5 trillion in the context of the rump BBB bill through Congress and the President signed it into law, without the usual down-to-the-wire Kabuki theater. Instead, we now have strongman theater.

We need to get used to that. Although that does not mean that future policy enactment will be any more predictable.

So now we have to ask. Will markets rise?

Can pigs fly?

Here’s the answer.

Natty Sine of the Times

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