On the daily charts, anyway.
One day, it will break, and it will be all over.
For now, we look at shit like this and see patterns that would have been frighteningly bearish in the good old days when markets were markets, turn up.
The 5 day cycle projection is 4230.
First they gotta get through resistance around 4208-12. If they do, the projection would be easily doable. If they roll over from a test of the high, I’d expect a pullback to around 4190, where they’ll regroup to try again.
I just noticed that the Treasury announced another T-bill paydown yesterday that will settle on the 13th. From the 4th to the 13th, they will have paid down exactly enough T-bills to fund exactly the amount of new coupon issuance coming on the 17th.
That of course is right in the middle of Fed MBS settlement week. Good god all that money. It’s gonna be a porn show.
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