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Could a Wave of Pandemic Death be Bearish? 7/10/20 UPDATED 3:45 PM ET

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6:30 AM ET

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I don’t have the answer. The market seems a bit conflicted. 

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I would call the pattern and position of hourly 5 day cycle indicators modestly bearish here . However, there’s no 5 day cycle projection. A low on that cycle is ideally due today. A 2-3 day cycle projection of 3110 was hit with a low also due on that cycle now. If the ES clears 3135 in the pre-market, bulls still have the ball. Conversely, bears would take over below 3107.

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UPDATE 9:00AM ET

The PPI release triggered a brief breakout, but now they’ve pulled back to trend. We’re hanging in the balance with mixed indicators. What’s clear is that 3133-36 is the fulcrum. Once it starts to move away from here, the next move should be to either 3150 if it’s up, or 3110 if it’s down.

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UPDATE 11:30 AM ET

Resistance at 3155. 3 day cycle projection 3165. 5 day cycle indicators are bullish although there’s some doubt on momentum.

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UPDATE 1:25 PM ET

2-3 day cycle projection inching toward 3175. Also looks like a new 5 day cycle projection.

UPDATE 3:45 PM ET

Coming into the close, the 3 day cycle projection is 3195. The 5 day is 3185. Have a great weekend. I’ll be posting reports at Liquiditytrader.com for subscribers over the weekend. Please drop by and give them a look!

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Lee Adler

I’ve been publishing The Wall Street Examiner and its predecessor since October 2000. I also publish LiquidityTrader.com, and was lead analyst for Sure Money Investor, of blessed memory. I developed David Stockman's Contra Corner for Mr. Stockman. I’ve had a wide variety of finance related jobs since 1972, including a stint on Wall Street in both sales, analytical, and trading capacities. Prior to starting the Wall Street Examiner I was a commercial real estate appraiser in Florida for 15 years. I was considered an expert in the analysis of failed properties that ended up in the hands of bank REO divisions, the FDIC, and the RTC. Remember those guys? I also worked in the residential mortgage and real estate businesses in parts of the 1970s and 80s. I have been charting stocks and markets and doing analytical work since I was a teenager. I'm not some Ivory Tower academic, Wall Street guy. My perspective comes from having my boots on the ground and in the trenches, as a real estate broker, mortgage broker, trader, account rep, and analyst. I've watched most of the games these Wall Street wiseguys play from right up close. I know the drill from my 55 years of paying attention. And I'm happy to share that experience with you, right here. 

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