Posts Tagged ‘ Inflation ’

Fed near limit on scope to help jobs: Kocherlakota – Reuters

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May 23, 2012

Fed near limit on scope to help jobs: KocherlakotaReuters| RAPID CITY, South Dakota (Reuters) - A rise in inflation over the past year suggests the Federal Reserve has little firepower left to boost employment, a top Fed official said on Wednesday. Une...
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Egad, The Fed Pisses Me Off

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May 22, 2012

From the excellent Binyamin Applebaum at the NY Times: One part of the economy that’s growing rapidly is the Federal Reserve. These are boom times for the central bank, which persuaded Congress to expand its responsibilities significantly in the wake of the financial crisis. And with greater responsibility comes a larger budget. If not...
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Premier Wen Says China to Focus More on Growth, Xinhua Reports – Bloomberg

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May 20, 2012
Premier Wen Says China to Focus More on Growth, Xinhua Reports – Bloomberg

Spiegel OnlinePremier Wen Says China to Focus More on Growth, Xinhua ReportsBloombergChinese Premier Wen Jiabao said the government will focus more on bolstering growth, indicating policies may be loosened further as inflation moderates. China will “...
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CANADA FX DEBT-C$ rallies on risk recovery, inflation surprise – Reuters

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May 18, 2012

CANADA FX DEBT-C$ rallies on risk recovery, inflation surpriseReuters* C$ hits session high of C$1.0139 vs US$, or 98.63 US cents * 2-yr bond yield climbs after stronger-than-expected inflation * Total inflation 2.0 pct annually By Claire Sibonney TORO...
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U.S. Consumer-Price Index Unchanged, Core Rate Climbs 0.2% – Bloomberg

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May 15, 2012
U.S. Consumer-Price Index Unchanged, Core Rate Climbs 0.2% – Bloomberg

Novinite.comU.S. Consumer-Price Index Unchanged, Core Rate Climbs 0.2%BloombergA measure of the US cost of living was unchanged in April, restrained by a drop in energy prices and supporting the view of some Federal Reserve policy makers that inflation...
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India inflation posts surprise 7.23 percent jump (via AFP) Full Story

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May 14, 2012
India inflation posts surprise 7.23 percent jump (via AFP) Full Story

India inflation posts surprise 7.23 percent jump (via AFP) India’s inflation unexpectedly accelerated in April to over seven percent as food bills soared, data showed on Monday, diminishing chances of swift interest rate cuts to boost a stumbling economy. The closely watched Wholesale Price Index rose to 7.23 percent in April from the same...
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Government Is Getting Smaller in the U.S. – Off the Charts – NYTimes.com

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May 4, 2012

FOR the first time in 40 years, the government sector of the American economy has shrunk during the first three years of a presidential administration. Spending by the federal government, adjusted for inflation, has risen at a slow rate under President Obama. But that increase has been more than offset by a fall in...
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Fed’s Williams: need ‘strong’ stimulus for "quite some time" – Reuters

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May 3, 2012

Fed's Williams: need 'strong' stimulus for "quite some time"Reuters| SANTA BARBARA, California (Reuters) - With the US jobless rate "far too high," the Federal Reserve will need to keep its foot on the monetary gas pedal...
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ISM and New Factory Orders Charts Explained in Real Terms

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May 2, 2012
ISM and New Factory Orders Charts Explained in Real Terms

As this data is updated monthly you can access the updated data from the Economic Charts menu in the lower left sidebar. Or just bookmark the permanent page. ISM New Orders Index Not Seasonally Adjusted The ISM not seasonally adjusted (in other words, actual) new orders index as of April 2012 has been diverging...
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PMI shows split as global manufacturing ticks up – Reuters

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May 2, 2012
PMI shows split as global manufacturing ticks up – Reuters

The GuardianPMI shows split as global manufacturing ticks upReuters| LONDON May 2 (Reuters) - Global manufacturing activity picked up pace last month but there remained a marked divergence between the United States and the euro zone, a report showed on...
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Plosser Says Rates Should Rise Before 2014 FOMC Target Date

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May 1, 2012
Plosser Says Rates Should Rise Before 2014 FOMC Target Date

Philly Fed President Charles Plosser said in a speech in San Diego: “You may know that I dissented from the FOMC decisions in August and September because it was not clear to me that increasing monetary policy accommodation was appropriate then. After all, inflation was higher and unemployment was lower relative to the previous...
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Why U.S. house prices won’t recover – MarketWatch

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May 1, 2012

The fact that this writer is still relying on the Case Chiller shows that he’s a bit clueless, but I found it interesting that prices were back to 1955, 1986 and 1895 levels in real terms.  That seems like an argument to be bullish on house prices, not bearish. By Jack Hough When will...
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Lacker Says Fed May Have to Tighten With Unemployment at 7% – Bloomberg

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May 1, 2012
Lacker Says Fed May Have to Tighten With Unemployment at 7% – Bloomberg

BloombergLacker Says Fed May Have to Tighten With Unemployment at 7%BloombergFederal Reserve Bank of Richmond President Jeffrey Lacker said the central bank needs to be ready to raise interest rates even if joblessness exceeds 7 percent. Speaking in an...
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PIMCO’s Gross cautions against inflation and credit "ocean"

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May 1, 2012

PIMCO's Gross cautions against inflation and credit "ocean" Reuters – 2 hours 8 minutes ago.. . By Sam Forgione NEW YORK (Reuters) - Central bank policies will induce growth in developed countries this year but will create inflationary risks down th...
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Fed Hawk and Dove Agree: No More Easing – CNBC.com

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May 1, 2012
Fed Hawk and Dove Agree: No More Easing – CNBC.com

CNBC.comFed Hawk and Dove Agree: No More EasingCNBC.comTwo top Federal Reserve officials — one with a dovish, employment-focused bent, and the other a self-avowed inflation hawk — on Monday both said they see no need for the US central bank to ease...
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Does Believing in the "Recovery" Make It Real?

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April 28, 2012
Does Believing in the "Recovery" Make It Real?

Basing a "virtuous cycle" on lies and propaganda is self-defeating. Does believing in the "recovery" make it real? The propaganda policies of the Federal Reserve and the Federal government are based on the hope that you'll answer "yes." The en...
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The Student Loan Bubble is the Next Subprime

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April 5, 2012
The Student Loan Bubble is the Next Subprime

Don't look now but there's another giant bubble out there. It's so big it rivals subprime.

I'm talking about the student loan bubble.

Recently, the outstanding volume of student loans passed $1 trillion. What's more bothersome is that the average individual amount owed by...
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BEA Leaves 4Q-2011 Annualized GDP Growth Essentially Unchanged at 2.97%

BEA Leaves 4Q-2011 Annualized GDP Growth Essentially Unchanged at 2.97%

In their "final" revision of their estimate of the fourth quarter 2011 GDP, the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) found that the annualized rate of U.S. domestic economic growth was 2.97%, down a mere 0.01 percent from their last estimate for the f...
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More Signs Inflation is Picking Up

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March 27, 2012
More Signs Inflation is Picking Up

The consumer confidence index showed expectations for high inflation in the next six months has reached its highest level in six months.  The MIT survey has been updated and shows inflation tilting back up. I really wonder about prices and quality of...
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SPX, RUT, Silver Updates: The Ongoing Power of the Bernanke Put

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March 27, 2012
SPX, RUT, Silver Updates:  The Ongoing Power of the Bernanke Put

On Monday, Bernanke emerged from his lair and jawboned QE3 into virtual existance, again sending the market skyrocketing.  Before I go much further, I want to put up a chart I stole from Zero Hedge, who stole it from Strategas Resea...
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What Rising Gasoline Prices Do to the Economy

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February 24, 2012
What Rising Gasoline Prices Do to the Economy

Charting gasoline prices against income and GDP provides some interesting results. Since rapidly rising gasoline prices are in the news, let's look at some charts of gasoline and the economy, courtesy of frequent contributor B.C. These depi...
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Dis and Dat

By
February 20, 2012
Dis and Dat

.Self-Serving Accounting There’s been an ongoing row about changes in lease accounting. Big players in the leasing industry (think GE) have been fighting the changes tooth-and-nail. This article had some interesting data on the consequences of the n...
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Bernanke’s Decision may lead the Planet into Financial Chaos

With its announcement this week that it will keep interest rates near zero until at least late 2014, the Federal Reserve has put another large crack into the foundations underlying the US dollar. In a misguided attempt to provide clarity and transpa...
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SPX and VIX Updates: Bears Running Out of Real Estate

By
January 26, 2012
SPX and VIX Updates:  Bears Running Out of Real Estate

Yesterday, the Fed announced that it will continue to keep interest rates low "until late 2014 or until we all get fired, whichever comes first."  The market immediately rallied, as hopeful investors cheered the news that the Fed&nb...
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SPX Update: A Discussion on QE3 and the Market’s Potential for Disappointment

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January 20, 2012
SPX Update:  A Discussion on QE3 and the Market’s Potential for Disappointment

Since "to QE3 or not to QE3" is once again the big question on investors minds, I'm going to share my thoughts on this before we get to the charts. The Federal Reserve Board meets next week, and as has become somethi...
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Retail Sales Not Too Bad

By
January 12, 2012
Retail Sales Not Too Bad

While the media was trumpeting a miss on retail sales, the truth, as usual, was somewhat different than the media message. The major media outlets reported that a 0.1% gain missed analysts’ consensus estimate of a gain of 0.3% for the month of December. As usual, the report was stated in seasonally adjusted terms,...
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Social Security – January 2012 and Beyond

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January 11, 2012
Social Security – January 2012 and Beyond

The January 2012 numbers for Social Security (SS) show a mixed picture. The results mirror what is going on in the economy. There is clear evidence that revenues at SS are recovering; there is equally clear evidence that America’s social expenditures...
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Strap in for a Wild Week!

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January 9, 2012
Strap in for a Wild Week!

By Phil of Phil's Stock World This chart from the NYTimes pretty much says it all: The average annual inflation-adjusted return for the S&P 500 has been in decline since the late 90s, the decline only paused in the 00s and that fooled us into thinking it was a recovery...
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On Trading Central Tendency

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January 9, 2012
On Trading Central Tendency

It’s been about a week since the Federal Reserve announced its new policy of providing information to the public regarding the direction of US interest rates. The new policy is not, generally, a surprise. The Wall Street Journal’s Jon Hilsenrath to...
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A Historical Cycle Bodes Ill for the Markets

January 6, 2012 A Historical Cycle Bodes Ill for the Markets By FLOYD NORRIS AT the turn of the last century, it was widely accepted that American stocks were virtually certain to be good long-term investments. Now, far fewer people are confident of...
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