Tag Archive for Withholding Taxes

Treasury Market Panic Reversal Due To Little Known Forces Called Supply and Demand

The Treasury market panic saw a bit of a reversal this week, partly due to an unexpected, large increase in supply because of a sharp drop in Federal tax revenues over the past couple of weeks, and partly due to the market misunderstanding of Thursday morning’s news. The “better than expected” weekly unemployment claims data…

Treasury Market About Face- Just a Blip or Sign of Things To Come?

I mentioned in my last free report that the bulge in withholding tax collections which may have been a tipoff to the better than expected payrolls data, had subsided. I took another look at the data today, and there’s been no rebound since I posted that report. Follow the money. Find the profits!Liquidity is money.…

Deconstructing The “Massive Beat” in Employment Data- Corrected

Editor’s Note: The earlier version of this article included unadjusted numbers derived from a spreadsheet error. The error resulted in the not seasonally adjusted month to month employment declines being understated. The data has been corrected. The analysis and conclusions are unaffected. Thanks to rdkyote for bringing this to my attention! Follow the money. Find…

Treasury Announces Sharply Reduced Borrowing Estimates

Consistent with reports in the Wall Street Examiner Professional Edition Treasury Updates, the government will borrow less in the first quarter than it had originally forecast, primarily due to a big increase in withholding taxes since mid December. It is also estimating a much lower borrowing rate for the second quarter, meaning that its economic…

Bloody September

The following paragraphs are free excerpts from today’s Wall Street Examiner Professional Edition Treasury update. The subscriber link to the complete report is below. Follow the money. Find the profits!Liquidity is money. Regardless of where in the world that money originates, eventually it flows to and through Wall Street. So if you want to know…

Federal Withholding Tax Data Says US Already In Recession

I wanted to follow up with you on the June 17 report on Federal Withholding Tax collections, which I cover regularly in the Professional Edition Treasury Update (latest report here). I like tracking withholding taxes because they are one of the only economic barometers that we can follow virtually in real time on a daily…

Federal Tax Receipts Show Economy Grinding To A Halt

This post is an abridged excerpt from the June 16 Wall Street Examiner Professional Edition Treasury update. Click here to try the service risk free for 30 days and get this week’s complete Treasury and Fed reports and all updates, along with other weekly and monthly reports essential for understanding where the markets and the…