Simulacrum – The Wall Street Examiner

You Can’t Fool Mother Nature For Long: Financial Markets

Charles Hugh Smith Charles Hugh Smith January 17, 2012 0 Comments

Constant State and Central Bank intervention and manipulation is not the foundation of a free, transparent market–it is perception management in service of Elite control and looting.

You can fool Mother Nature for awhile, but not over the long-te…

Pick List Longs Escape With Flying Colors, Now for the Shorts

Existing picks, all longs, held up pretty well in last week’s selling. 3 of them dipped below their stops, with gains in two of the three. The newest pick, XXXX (subscribers), added last Monday, did surprisingly well. This week, I’m adding one long and three shorts.

Bond Market Has Mitigated Some of the Risk, But Don’t Go To Sleep

In Part 1 of this report, I covered dealer positions, financing, and hedging. Dealers have mitigated a significant amount of risk by selling paper to…

Gold on the Cusp

Gold is in a very precarious place on the charts. The only thing we have to fear isn’t just fear itself. Here’s what I’m worried…

Market Engine Whines Without A Rudder

Cycles are mixed, and cycle screening measures are deteriorating, but there are still reasons to expect the averages to head higher. Here’s what they are,…

When This Boring Market Finally Reaches the Center of the Earth

The volatility subsided, but the range remained. 4 picks dipped below their stops. Were they too tight? Or is this the beginning of the end for the longs. Time will tell.

Meanwhile, list performance improved slightly to an average of +2.4%, up from +0.2% the week before, on an average holding period of 15 days, up from 10 days the week before. The percentage change assumes cash trades, no margin, no options.

The stopouts left just 4 picks on the list. All are longs, and all look ok to hold, with stops adjusted based on trigger lines in the charts. I added two more picks from Friday’s screen.

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You Can’t Fool Mother Nature For Long: Financial Markets