Is the U.S. really a post-oil economy?
One way to gauge the real economy is to look at charts of the GDP, wages, household debt and the price of oil; another way is to correlate all of these on one chart. The following chart (courtesy of freq…
I don’t know a hell of a lot about John Corzine. And what really is or was ‘MF Global?’
But what I do know is that it is difficult for me to see anything like a ‘crisis’ in any of the current metrics surrounding the US Dollar, the euro, and the intere…
Corporate America is profoundly bankrupt. Not in a financial sense, of course; the Federal Reserve’s slow destruction of the U.S. dollar has boosted corporate profits most handsomely as the majority of their earnings and profits are obtained overse…
June 2, 2011 updated
How do you get from Nominal GDP to Real GDP? The Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) uses its own GDP Deflator for this purpose. In a recent commentary Rick Davis, the founder of Consumer Metrics Institute, made some interestin…
June 2, 2011
Following the second update of Q1 GDP, which came in unchanged at 1.8, Rick Davis, the founder of Consumer Metrics Institute, posted an analysis of the update that included an interesting observation on the BEA technique for calculati…
May 30, 2011
http://dshort.com/charts/CMI/Consumer-Metrics-tn.gif The CMI Daily Growth Index had been setting new historic lows every few days over the past five weeks, with the trough on May 16. The index had rebounded a bit but now appears ready …
May 25, 2011
My recent update on the Consumer Metrics Institute Growth Index prompted a thoughtful response from James H. Ross, R.A. in Wilmington, NC. With regard to your question of whether the CMI Growth Index is a leading indicator for the S&…
May 24, 2011
Earlier this month we saw evidence of slowing consumption in the Advance Monthly Retail Trade Report for April from the Census Bureau (see my analysis here). I’ve now updated my Consumer Metrics Institute (CMI) charts through the late…
May 20, 2011
Last week we saw evidence of slowing consumption in the Advance Monthly Retail Trade Report for April from the Census Bureau (see my analysis here). This morning, I’ve updated my Consumer Metrics Institute (CMI) charts through the late…
May 9, 2011
On Thursday of this week, we’ll get the Advance Monthly Retail Trade Report for April from the Census Bureau. Shortly thereafter I’ll post my revised retail sales charts. Meanwhile, I’ve updated my Consumer Metrics Institute (CMI) chart…
