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Tag: is gold on the rise

Has the Great Gold Crash Divorced Bullion from Futures Prices? Money Morning

In mid-April, a black swan crash-landed on the gold market.

Over just two trading days, gold futures prices shed 13%, falling from $1,575 to $1,375.

That $200 cliff dive was the largest two-day drop in 33 years.

Gold prices already had been in steady consolidation mode for 18 months. But the magnitude and swiftness of this dramatic move were rare…to the point of suspicion.

How did markets react? Unlike almost anyone expected.

What caused such a landslide, and who may be behind it? More importantly, what are the implications for the precious metals markets moving forward?

The conclusions will surprise you — and help you invest more wisely.

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How Will the Debt Ceiling Debate Affect Gold Prices? Money Morning

If you’re wondering how the debt ceiling debate will affect gold prices, you need to check out a new report from Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (NYSE: GS).

Investment powerhouse Goldman believes gold prices will log impressive gains over the next three months as the debt ceiling debate takes center stage on Capitol Hill. The bank is advising investors to position portfolios ahead of upward moves in the precious metal.

“We see current prices as a good entry point to re-establish fresh longs,” Goldman analysts Damien Courvalin and Alec Phillips wrote in a Jan. 18 report.

The bank reaffirmed its three-month price target for gold of $1,825 an ounce. (Gold was trading at $1,695.20 in New York Tuesday.)

“The uncertainty associated with these (debt-ceiling) issues, combined with our economists’ forecast for weak U.S. GDP growth in the first half of 2013 following the negative impact of higher taxes, will push gold” to the three-month target, the report stated.

The Goldman strategists pointed out six instances between 1996 and 2007 when the country hit the debt ceiling and the Treasury responded by using its muscle to execute “extraordinary measures” to keep the country afloat and running.

Gold prices rallied some 10% in half of these instances in the month prior to the debt-limit increase.

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