Tag Archive for Headline Number

With strong month, Durable Goods Orders rose 5% over May 2011

6/27/12 May Real Durable Goods Orders, adjusted for inflation and not seasonally manipulated were up 4.1% over May 2011. That compares with a 4% gain in April. In adjusting for inflation, this measure attempts to represents actual unit volume of orders. Also, the use of actual, versus seasonally manipulated (SA) data allows an accurate view…

Real Deal on Retail- Even Worse Than They Said

The headline number for retail sales today was an increase of 0.1% month to month, seasonally adjusted, which exactly met the conomic consensual sextimate of 0.1%. Here’s how Bloomberg put it. U.S. Retail Sales Cool After Warm-Weather Spree: Economy Retail sales rose in April at the slowest pace of the year as Americans took a…

Lots of Conomic Data Releases, All Of Them Misleading

There’s been lots of conomic data over the past couple of days. I covered the NAHB builder survey yesterday. Regardless of the fact that the housing market is at pathetic levels historically, the builder data showed the rebound off the lows to be on track. Today, the government released data on housing starts to add…

ISM in Wonderland Media Reporting Versus Reality, Which Do You Prefer?

The big economic news story on Monday was the ISM Purchasing Managers Index. The headline number was only mildly positive, but it was enough so that Bloomberg was beside itself with joy. “Manufacturing in the U.S. expanded at a faster pace in March, driven by gains in employment and production that signal the world’s biggest…

Durable Goods Devil In The Details And The Big Picture

“Durable Goods Orders Rise 4%,” blared the headlines this morning. There was just one minor problem with that. It was not true. It represented the seasonally adjusted, massaged, and manipulated number, which bears no semblance to reality. The mainstream media always reports just the seasonal hocus pocus while ignoring the actual number. That actual number…