There’s a very dangerous meme making the rounds.
It goes something like this:
The economy is improving, therefore the Fed’s going to taper… and, when it does, the economy is strong enough to endure the withdrawals that will come with it.
Don’t fall for it.
Bloomberg says that global corporate profits are being hit by the Euro crisis. Maybe so, but second quarter corporate taxes in the US hit a 4 year record. Europe’s debt crisis is putting pressure on corporate earnings globally with companies from Procter & Gamble Co. (PG) to Danone (BN) cutting forecasts and signaling profits will…
FHFA Press Release- Washington, DC – U.S. house prices rose 0.8 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from March to April, according to the Federal Housing Finance Agency’s monthly House Price Index. The previously reported 1.8 percent increase in March was revised downward to reflect a 1.6 percent increase. For the 12 months ending in April, U.S.…
This report is an excerpt from the permanent Retail Sales Chart Page. See that page for more charts and discussion. That page will be updated whenever new data is released. Bookmark that page for future reference. Real Retail Sales Ex Gasoline Per Capita Helped by the drop in CPI in May, Real Retail Sales Ex…
This is an update of the new permanent page on Treasury Auction Investor Class Allotments. That page will be updated regularly. Bookmark it for future reference. Treasury Auction Investor Class Allotments Dealers take the lion’s share of the Treasury auctions followed by foreign buyers, mostly central banks. Over the past year investment funds have caught up…
Just updated- 26 economic charts that depict the data in ways that you won’t see anywhere else. Each chart gives you insight and clarity about the most important economic trends. You can peruse them at the Economic Chart Gallery.
This report is an excerpt from the permanent Employment Chart page. The edge that Federal Withholding Tax collections had held over last year continued to narrow last week, suggesting a weakening employment picture in May. The chart below compares current withholding tax collections with last year on the same date. This year collections have been…
Equity Mutual Fund Flows The permanent page for these charts is Mutual Fund and Money Market Fund Flows Charts. The charts will be updated there regularly. April projected based on weekly figures. While not a primary liquidity driver, this chart is useful as a peripheral market indicator. It has begun to turn intermediate term bearish in…
As this data is updated monthly you can access the updated data from the Economic Charts menu in the lower left sidebar. Or just bookmark the permanent page. ISM New Orders Index Not Seasonally Adjusted The ISM not seasonally adjusted (in other words, actual) new orders index as of April 2012 has been diverging from…
Improvement in first time unemployment claims is slowing. Actual, not seasonally manipulated data, including an adjustment for the usual weekly upward revision, shows that the year to year rate of change is on the cusp of a possible upside breakout, which would be good news for stock market bears if it happens. Here’s why it’s…
