Constantin Gurdgiev - The Wall Street Examiner - Page 5 of 23

U.S. Labor Markets: America’s Scariest Charts, Part 5

Constantin Gurdgiev Other Guys February 4, 2021

Current average duration of unemployment spell is already higher than the peak of any prior recession other than the Great Recession

U.S. Labor Markets: America’s Scariest Charts, Part 4

Constantin Gurdgiev Other Guys February 4, 2021

Worrying trends cited in reference to continued unemployment claims

U.S. Labor Markets: America’s Scariest Charts, Part 3

Constantin Gurdgiev Other Guys February 4, 2021

Labor markets conditions in the U.S. remain abysmal,

U.S. Labor Markets: America’s Scariest Charts, Part 2

Constantin Gurdgiev Other Guys February 4, 2021

The situation overall remains dire.

U.S. Labor Markets: America’s Scariest Charts, Part 1

Constantin Gurdgiev Other Guys February 4, 2021

The worst of all post-WW2 recessions.

The Cost of Trump’s Failures to Act on Covid19: Case of Housing Market Interventions

Constantin Gurdgiev Other Guys February 3, 2021

COVID-19 pandemic has been associated with a range of deep and dramatic policy interventions, including rolling lockdowns, monetary and fiscal policies interventions, wide ranges of subsidies and supports, but also measures relating to addressing…

3/2/21: EU-US Trade Policies Dynamics

Constantin Gurdgiev Other Guys February 3, 2021

Evolutionary dynamics of the U.S.-EU trade policy changes via S&P Global:

The Disaster of Investing via Smartphones?

Constantin Gurdgiev Other Guys February 2, 2021

Some stuff I’ve been reading that (sometimes) falls into current newsflow: Kalda, Ankit and Loos, Benjamin and Previtero, Alessandro and Hackethal, Andreas paper, titled “Smart(Phone) Investing? A within Investor-Time Analysis of New Technologies …

Bubblishiousness

Constantin Gurdgiev Other Guys November 29, 2020

Illustrating FOMO and Bubblishiousness vs Reality:

COVID19 Update: Nordics & Sweden

Constantin Gurdgiev Other Guys November 19, 2020

New cases are blowing up in Sweden and are now on the declining trend in the rest of the Nordics

Whipsaw Leads to Rise in Cycle Projections

A critical test is underway: if the market clears xxxxx xxxxx, projections as high as xxxx would still be viable. A failure at xxxx, however, would open the door to reversal across multiple time frames. The models xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxxxx xxxxxxxxxx xx key thresholds. Traders should be alert for confirmation either way.

Last Chance for Gold Romance 5/30/25

Top formation is due xxxx xxxxxx on short-term cycles. The intermediate uptrend is still intact, and will remain so provided that a pullback holds above xxxx. More fireworks look likely through the summer, with a xxxxxx xxxxx high expected in the xxxx xxxxx time frame. 4 mining picks added to the chart pick list last week got off to a good start.

Liquidity Trader Swing Trade Selections and Performance – Beating Taco Tariff Whack a Mole

The markets are playing Tariff Whack a Mole while the cycle model runs in the background, drowned out by all the market noise. The markets are thin, and the tariff news pops up randomly and repeatedly to move prices a long way in an instant.

Primary Dealer Leverage and Hedging: 124% Leverage, Net Exposure Flat

Primary Dealers are pulling back from Treasury absorption — not by choice, but by constraint. With inventories falling despite relentless coupon issuance, the data confirms what recent auctions have already hinted: dealers are maxed out.

This report unpacks what the May 21 breakout in yields really signals—and why the next phase of Treasury supply could bring more than just higher rates.

Cycle Model Sell Signals Indicate Market Turning Point

Another Presidential tariff twist triggered a sharp rally in Europe on Memorial Day. So far, it doesn’t change any of the conclusions in this report, which was drafted before the rally. We must become accustomed to moves driven by increasingly frequent external noise, sometimes pro-cyclical and sometimes counter, and fostered by an increasingly thin market. This move appears countercyclical relative to cycles up to 13 weeks, and within a topping process of the 6-month and longer cycles. The resistance levels cited in the report would need to be broken to signal a material change in the short-term outlook.