Mainstream narratives do not, and will not be able to cover the full implications of a 145% tariff on Chinese goods, especially given how sudden and extreme such a policy would be. Let’s walk through several scenarios under this regime, starting from the immediate shock to the long-term economic and labor market consequences.
Tariff headlines triggered a violent rebound—but traders didn’t trust it, and AI didn’t either. The Adler Wave Model confirms what the Street already sensed: the rally stopped at broken support, and the setup still points lower—unless proven otherwise by specific follow-through.
March closed with a +6.4% average gain per trade. YTD stands at +3.6%. No new trades this week as the model steps back from late-cycle signals — but the two open shorts remain in position and profitable.
It looked right. It sounded smart. It was 500 billion dollars off.
This is what happens when you let AI write your totals.
Confession + warning inside
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