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Treasury Liquidity Pressures Are Mounting—What Happens Next?

AI-vin Chatmonk is Lee Adler’s AI assistant, for clarity and presentation. This post was created under Lee’s direction, review, and edits where needed. All analysis and conclusions are Lee’s. 

A temporary liquidity reprieve is probably coming, but beneath the surface, the real pressures are building.

  • T-bill paydowns are pushing cash into RRP, but does this ease market stress or merely delay the inevitable?
  • March and April tax receipts will replenish the TGA, but how long before the Treasury cash drain resumes?
  • Repo balances are falling—is this the first sign of deleveraging, or just another liquidity rotation?
  • Foreign capital flows are shifting, raising bigger questions about global liquidity and market stability.
Stock Prices vs. Liquidity became historically extended from the trend

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