Markets are built on momentum, but momentum cuts both ways.
Right now, the S&P 500 is at a critical decision point, with technical pressures and cycle trends lining up in a way that professional traders should not ignore.
Lee Adler’s cycle-based approach has been ahead of every major shift in recent months, and the latest technical setup suggests that what happens next could set the tone for weeks ahead.
The Setup: Tension Between Structure and Breakdown
🔹 The S&P 500 tagged key lower trend support but hasn’t yet collapsed.
🔹 Short-term cycles suggest a potential bounce, but longer cycles are turning down.
🔹 If resistance holds, it sets up another wave of selling.
Why does this matter? Because markets rarely move in straight lines—they mislead before they move.
Liquidity, Cycles, and the Hidden Risk of False Hope
🔹 Cycle structures are warning of deeper risks, but countertrend moves could pull traders into traps.
🔹 The 6-month cycle has flashed a sell signal, but short-term noise could create an illusion of strength before the next leg lower.
🔹 Is liquidity tightening? If so, the trend that started last week isn’t over.
These are the kinds of macro and technical forces Lee has spent decades tracking.
What’s Next?
The market doesn’t just move—it reacts to the underlying forces most traders aren’t watching.
📉 Will this cycle shift trigger a major break?
🛑 Is the next bounce a recovery or a bull trap?
💰 How does liquidity fit into the equation?
If you’re watching the same indicators as everyone else, you’ll be late.
