Tag Archive for Stock Prices

Liquidity Tide Continues To Rise As Fed Falls Behind The Inflation Curve

This is an extended free excerpt from the Professional Edition Fed Report. The composite liquidity indicator rose slightly last week, on a mixed performance of its components. The uptrend in the indicator has continued at a steady pace since it broke out in March. Over the course of this latest surge, most of the cash…

Mind Blowing Economic Charts – First Time Claims, The Stock Market, and The Fed

Improvement in first time unemployment claims is slowing. Actual, not seasonally manipulated data, including an adjustment for the usual weekly upward revision, shows that the year to year rate of change is on the cusp of a possible upside breakout, which would be good news for stock market bears if it happens. Here’s why it’s…

Is The Liquidity Tide Coming In or Going Out For Stocks?

This is an extended excerpt from the Professional Edition Fed Report Executive Summary. Note: Pages 4-10 comments correctly updated at 3:55 PM NY time. The composite liquidity indicator rose sharply last week, driven by a big Fed settlement of MBS purchases. The uptrend in the indicator is accelerating. Over the course of this latest surge,…

Primary Dealers and Their Biggest Client Off The Hook For Now, What Next?

The composite liquidity indicator edged higher last week, continuing a slow but steady uptrend. In February and March, the indicator had accelerated upward away from its 39 week moving average. That acceleration has slowed, but the indicator continues to advance. With somewhat less abundant liquidity, the government and Primary Dealers have targeted that liquidity for…

Durable Goods and The Stock Market, with The Fed In The Driver’s Seat

Durable goods orders rose 8.7% In February versus January on a nominal, not seasonally adjusted basis. The mainstream media reported only the 2.2% seasonally massaged increase, which missed the consensus expectation of 2.9%. The actual, unadjusted increase was the best February gain since February 2004, so the actual data could hardly be read as disappointing.…

The Bad News Is That Market is Celebrating What Was, Not What’s To Come

The cash generated by the ECB’s second big LTRO operation hit the US banking system last week. At the same time the Fed is still pumping cash into Primary Dealer trading accounts, and it just completed a big mid month cash infusion. This was all part of the master manipulators’ master plan, of which they…