Lee’s Free Thinking

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Employment Facts You Didn’t Hear

Total employment actually dropped by 214,000 according to the unadjusted household survey (CPS), not seasonally hocus pocused (NSHP). The establishment survey (CES) showed a gain of 428,000, again NSHP. Hard to reconcile those numbers. I guess a bunch of the millions of self employed gave up on their businesses selling junk in the attic on…

Cathartic monetary disorder, part I

Nobody knows what will happen. The discrepancies of economic predictions are at a record high. From deflation to hyperinflation, from the Euro getting destroyed to the dollar death cross, from idiotic “new normal” to idiotic Ken Fisher. But…

What Up With That?

So there was this big jump in mortgage purchase applications today. I thought to myself, “Hmmmm, I  wonder how many will make it to closing. And I wonder what triggered the pop.” Pop is relative of course. Yeah, it was a 9% jump from last week, but the level is still 35% below last year…

Don’t Fight the ISM?

Follow the money. Find the profits!Liquidity is money. Regardless of where in the world that money originates, eventually it flows to and through Wall Street. So if you want to know the direction of the next big moves in stocks and bonds, just follow the money. Lee Adler’s Liquidity Trader tracks and shows you the…

When a Gain is Just a Lie – Professional Edition

The holy grail of housing market pundits, the Case Shiller Index, reported a 1% month to month gain for the month of July, which is possibly the most misleading this index has ever been. Click here to download complete report in pdf format (Professional Edition Subscribers). Try the Professional Edition risk free for thirty days.…

The Trouble With Case Shiller

The mainstream media wasted hours reporting on and analyzing the Case Shiller Housing Index today. Did even one pundit mention what’s wrong with the Case Shiller data? If Dow Jones used the methodology to report the Dow Industrials that Standard and Poors uses to construct the Case Shiller Index (CSI) the Dow would be reported…

Stake In It (Official Version)- Professional Edition Housing Update

Here’s the official version of the Housing Market update which includes my earlier public rant on the new house sales data released today. Follow the money. Find the profits!Liquidity is money. Regardless of where in the world that money originates, eventually it flows to and through Wall Street. So if you want to know the…