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Category: David Stockman

Tomorrow Will Be a Watershed Moment for Financial Markets

Central banks are pushing on a string. They can’t generate more credit no matter how hard they try because most of the world is at what I call “peak debt.” That’s the point where households, companies, governments and even countries are tapped out. They’re stuck with such monumental debt burdens that they can’t service any additional debt no matter what the interest rate — even zero or below.

A Full Trunk Of Combustible Junk——The Wages Of ZIRP

Shuffling uncomfortably with paint brushes in hand in the tight monetary corner into which they have painted themselves, our monetary suzerains are about to demonstrate the folly of their seven-year stint of “extraordinary” policy accommodation. Even as ZIRP and QE have failed to rejuvenate the main street economy, they did trigger a far-reaching scramble for yield that has now left the casino…

December 16, 2015 — When The End Of The Bubble Begins

  They are going to layer their post-meeting statement with a steaming pile of if, ands & buts. It will exude an abundance of caution and a dearth of clarity. Having judged that a 25 bps pinprick is warranted, the FOMC will then plant itself firmly in front of the great flickering dashboard in the Eccles Building. There it will repose to a regimen of “watchful waiting”,…

Kinder Morgan——Poster Boy For Bubble Finance

The graph below belongs in the “what where they thinking category”. After Tuesday’s dividend massacre, it plain as day that Kinder Morgan (KMI) wasn’t the greatest thing since slice bread after all. That is, a “growth” business paying rich dividends out of rock solid profit margins and flourishing cash flow. In fact, it was just a momo stock on a borrowing spree. During the…

The Fed’s Painted Itself Into The Most Dangerous Corner In History—–Why There Will Soon Be A Riot In The Casino

The chart below crystalizes why the Fed is stranded in a monetary no man’s land. By the time of next week’s meeting the federal funds rate will have been pinned at about 10 bps, or effectively zero, for 84 straight months. Yet during that same period, the consumer price level has risen by 1.75% per year. And that’s if…