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Author: Andy Bebut

Should I believe oil contrarians?

I’m very confused. Usually the press is a big contrarian indicator. For example the euphoria about economy makes me think that the stock market is a toast. But the abundance of bearish materials on oil (like this one) is very confusing. It would suggest that oil should keep going higher.

But I don’t believe that. You […]

Ben and China – the deal is done?

There are two stories that I’ve posted in my feed (the link at the navigation bar) – one is that China just made a bold statement about Ben printing money and another that monetary aggregates just turned into freefall mode (i.e. we are witnessing the start of the classic deflationary spiral).

What to make of that? […]

The recession is over

As the market just (most likely) formed an important intermediate top it is the good time to celebrate the end of this recession. The bear market rally always ends on perfect news. The end of the recession seems good enough to me to mark the top.

The article I’ve linked above is the perfect example to […]


Just one simple chart to see how the triple-leveraged financial ETF from Direxion was perfoming during the rally from March lows:

The performance is compared to simple, not leveraged financial ETF (XLF). As you can see the slippage is amazing. I’m curious to know what is your downside target for the correction (if the correction ever […]

The Fed statement

The best interpretation of the Fed statement I saw here:

Dear Banksters,
We want our f*** money back before October. If not, we will monetize it and have FASB board bring back stricter accounting rules. Do you f*** understand? Now get a move on selling your $2 trillion in equities, you don’t have much time.
P.S. Jamie and […]

Our universal fast-food chain

I hope that the global fast-food franchises is the American invention. Just to be proud about something. And I’m inviting to check the health of our biggest and most important franchise – the dollar.

Please keep in mind that United States is the only country in the world, which is not trying to push its currency […]

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