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The Liquidity Trade (TLT)

There’s always a rally somewhere. Can you see it?

I call this The Liquidity Trade. It’s 3 1/2 points off the low of 8 days ago.

Not much. Not good.

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The TLT of course is a proxy for the bond market. It’s the 20 year Treasury bond ETF. If you are still holding bonds, what can I say but, “Oh the humanity.” But I warned you. I’ve been screaming to GTFO since August 2020.

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But there’s still a lot more cash coming into the market from T-bill paydowns in May, and that’s short term bullish for the 10 year. I think it will drop below 2.65 and that will trigger a lot of short covering in the futures. So the 10 year could target 2.50. Another gift rally for the longs to take as an exit. But they won’t.

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Tons of Cash, Not In Use, Signals this Huge Change in the Market

This is a repost, which originally appeared at Stool Pigeons Wire at Capitalstool.comView original post.

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