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Financial Markets are Coming Undone

Negative duration bets? Financial markets are coming undone.

(Bloomberg) — Average duration in Templeton Global Bond Fund shortened to -2.21 years by end of first quarter, from – 1.6 years at end of 2018, according to latest filing.

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Builds up Mexico position to 13% from 12.6% at end of 2018, making the country the biggest portfolio holding

Brazil and U.S. remain in top three country holdings with at least 11%

Other top 10 exposures include India, Indonesia, South Korea, Argentina, Ghana
Retains short position on euro, yen, Australian dollar

Increases cash to 32.2% from 24.9% at end of 2018

Total net assets increase to $33.8b from $33.5b

NOTE: fund, run by Michael Hasenstab and Calvin Ho, has returned 3.5% in past year, outperforming 58% of peers, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

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Templeton’s negative duration bet comes as The Federal Reserve announced that they may need to buy more government bonds than it did before the 2008 financial crisis and conduct other money-market operations to implement its current approach to managing U.S. interest rates.

Or as Arthur Brown sang, “We are the Gods of hellfire,  and we bring you … FIRE!”

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