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Q3 GDP Growth Expected To Be 3.4% To 3.9% By Midterm Election, Giving Trump A $20 Trillion Talking Point

This is a syndicated repost courtesy of Confounded Interest. To view original, click here. Reposted with permission.

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(Bloomberg) — The U.S. economy is poised for its best back-to-back quarters of growth since 2014, handing President Donald Trump a $20 trillion talking point just in time for the midterm congressional elections.

The report due Friday, the last data before the Nov. 6 vote, will show gross domestic product expanded at a 3.4 percent annualized pace in the July-September period after a 4.2 percent gain in the prior quarter, according to the median estimate of economists surveyed by Bloomberg. Consumer spending and business investment probably drove growth, and inventory accumulation also contributed.

And the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow forecast for Q3 real GDP growth is 3.9%, slightly higher than the median estimates of economists surveyed by Bloomberg.

gdpnow-forecast-evolution q3.png

Here is the breakdown of the Atlanta Fed GDPNow report.


While former President Barack Obama is campaigning against current President Donald Trump and taking credit for the current economy, Obama forgets to mention the enormous assistance from The Federal Reserve in terms of QE. The last year (2014) over 3% real GDP growth YoY for Obama came after the third and massive round of Fed asset purchases. Now The Fed is withdrawing its monetary stimulus and the economy is picking up steam.



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