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Stock Market Rally In Week of Massive Treasury Supply Signals Mania – Professional Edition

The Treasury announced and auctioned another $45 billion in cash management bills on Friday on top of $50 billion auctioned at the beginning of the week. This is approximately half of the estimated $183 billion in net new Treasury supply that will pound the market through early March. The fact that stocks rallied and Treasuries didn’t weaken much suggests that not only has dealer and investor cash been drawn down but that that leverage has also increased. In my opinion this is symptomatic of an institutional mania in stocks driven by central bank mania.

Meanwhile the forces that have fostered the recent rebound in the Treasury market are showing cracks.

Liquidity moves markets!

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Table of Contents

Treasury Auctions
Week Just Completed
Week Ahead
Treasury Auction Takedowns By Investor Class
Primary Dealer Trading
Foreign Central Banks
ECB And The Treasury Market
Bond Fund Flows
Bank Purchases Of Treasuries
Federal Government Cash Flows
10 Year Treasury Yield
US($) Dolor Index

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Lee Adler

I’ve been publishing The Wall Street Examiner and its predecessor since October 2000. I also publish LiquidityTrader.com, and was lead analyst for Sure Money Investor, of blessed memory. I developed David Stockman's Contra Corner for Mr. Stockman. I’ve had a wide variety of finance related jobs since 1972, including a stint on Wall Street in both sales, analytical, and trading capacities. Prior to starting the Wall Street Examiner I was a commercial real estate appraiser in Florida for 15 years. I was considered an expert in the analysis of failed properties that ended up in the hands of bank REO divisions, the FDIC, and the RTC. Remember those guys? I also worked in the residential mortgage and real estate businesses in parts of the 1970s and 80s. I have been charting stocks and markets and doing analytical work since I was a teenager. I'm not some Ivory Tower academic, Wall Street guy. My perspective comes from having my boots on the ground and in the trenches, as a real estate broker, mortgage broker, trader, account rep, and analyst. I've watched most of the games these Wall Street wiseguys play from right up close. I know the drill from my 55 years of paying attention. And I'm happy to share that experience with you, right here. 

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