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Stock Market Rally In Week of Massive Treasury Supply Signals Mania – Professional Edition

The Treasury announced and auctioned another $45 billion in cash management bills on Friday on top of $50 billion auctioned at the beginning of the week. This is approximately half of the estimated $183 billion in net new Treasury supply that will pound the market through early March. The fact that stocks rallied and Treasuries didn’t weaken much suggests that not only has dealer and investor cash been drawn down but that that leverage has also increased. In my opinion this is symptomatic of an institutional mania in stocks driven by central bank mania.

Meanwhile the forces that have fostered the recent rebound in the Treasury market are showing cracks.

Table of Contents

Treasury Auctions
Week Just Completed
Week Ahead
Treasury Auction Takedowns By Investor Class
Primary Dealer Trading
Foreign Central Banks
ECB And The Treasury Market
Bond Fund Flows
Bank Purchases Of Treasuries
Federal Government Cash Flows
10 Year Treasury Yield
US($) Dolor Index

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